跑馬地 · 2025-12-17 · 14:20
第 8場
2025-12-17跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1000米。由M Guyon策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的CANDLELIGHT DINNER勝出。HEALTHY HEALTHY獲得亞軍；METRO POWER獲得季軍。3.5倍大熱門HEALTHY HEALTHY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER 0:56.69 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Guyon · Y S Tsui | M Guyon | Y S Tsui | 10 | 6.4 | — |
| 2 | 7 | HEALTHY HEALTHY H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 1 | 3.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | METRO POWER L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 8 | 21.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | SUPERB KING H Doyle · K W Lui | H Doyle | K W Lui | 9 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | ETERNAL FORTUNE H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 11 | 9.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | LOVE TOGETHER C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 3.8 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | CASA OF HONOR M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 6 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | DEVAS TWELVE M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 31.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | HAYDAY A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 2 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 12 | 25.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | SIX THREE WIN K Teetan · M Newnham | K Teetan | M Newnham | 4 | 47.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 4 | BLUE ILLUSION R Kingscote · P C Ng | R Kingscote | P C Ng | 7 | 16.0 | 14-1/2 |
| — | 7 | PARENTS' LOVE Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | LOVE TOGETHER | 27.4% | 3.66 | 6 |
| 2 | 7 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 22.6% | 4.42 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | ETERNAL FORTUNE | 11.3% | 8.82 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | CASA OF HONOR | 10.1% | 9.89 | 7 |
| 5 | 4 | BLUE ILLUSION | 5.3% | 18.83 | 12 |
| 6 | 12 | SUPERB KING | 4.7% | 21.06 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER | 3.8% | 26.47 | 1 |
| 8 | 11 | DEVAS TWELVE | 3.7% | 26.68 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | HAYDAY | 3.4% | 29.14 | 9 |
| 10 | 3 | METRO POWER | 3.1% | 32.14 | 3 |
| 11 | 1 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS | 2.8% | 35.34 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | SIX THREE WIN | 1.6% | 61.80 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 64.5
PLACE
3 58
7 15
9 23.5
QUINELLA
7,9 165.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 142.5
3,9 264.5
7,9 58.5
FORECAST
9,7 275
TIERCE
9,7,3 4,175
TRIO
3,7,9 831
FIRST 4
3,7,9,12 2,728
QUARTET
9,7,3,12 43,542
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
12/7 99.5
12/9 1,350