跑馬地 · 2025-12-17 · 11:15
第 2場
2025-12-17跑馬地第2場，Class 5，途程1000米。由Y L Chung策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的MACANESE MASTER勝出。ISLAND BREEZES獲得亞軍；ORIENTAL SURPRISE獲得季軍。3.6倍大熱門ORIENTAL SURPRISE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MACANESE MASTER 0:57.37 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 22.0 | — |
| 2 | 1 | ISLAND BREEZES L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 6 | 10.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 3 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE J McDonald · D A Hayes | J McDonald | D A Hayes | 4 | 3.6 | N |
| 4 | 2 | SKY SONG H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 1 | 5.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | NOBLE DELUXE A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 9 | 9.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | MODEST GENTLEMAN Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 11 | 7.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | HAPPY HORSE H Doyle · K L Man | H Doyle | K L Man | 10 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | GLORIOUS EXPERT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 7 | 6.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | SUPER ELITE L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 9.7 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | SPORTIC WARRIOR H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 3 | 107.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | CAMP FIRE D Probert · D J Whyte | D Probert | D J Whyte | 12 | 45.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | COLONEL M F Poon · J Richards | M F Poon | J Richards | 8 | 43.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SKY SONG | 37.0% | 2.71 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE | 15.5% | 6.45 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 9.3% | 10.77 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | ISLAND BREEZES | 7.1% | 14.08 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | GLORIOUS EXPERT | 6.9% | 14.53 | 8 |
| 6 | 5 | NOBLE DELUXE | 5.3% | 18.93 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | SUPER ELITE | 5.2% | 19.41 | 9 |
| 8 | 4 | HAPPY HORSE | 4.9% | 20.31 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | COLONEL | 3.4% | 29.16 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | CAMP FIRE | 2.1% | 47.40 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | MACANESE MASTER | 1.9% | 51.75 | 1 |
| 12 | 6 | SPORTIC WARRIOR | 1.4% | 69.52 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 225
PLACE
1 26
3 15.5
12 59
QUINELLA
1,12 1,701
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 85.5
1,12 521.5
3,12 119
FORECAST
12,1 3,858
TIERCE
12,1,3 24,310
TRIO
1,3,12 1,942
FIRST 4
1,2,3,12 1,328
QUARTET
12,1,3,2 56,450
全部彩池（另 1 項）
1ST DOUBLE
4/1 56
4/12 1,424.5