跑馬地 · 2025-12-17 · 13:50
第 7場
2025-12-17跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1200米。由A Atzeni策騎、J Size訓練的AMAZING KID勝出。MEOWTH獲得亞軍；RUN RUN SMART獲得季軍。4.9倍大熱門GOKO WIN跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | AMAZING KID 1:10.05 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 1 | 12.0 | — |
| 2 | 3 | MEOWTH C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 12 | 12.0 | HD |
| 3 | 5 | RUN RUN SMART H Doyle · F C Lor | H Doyle | F C Lor | 7 | 7.4 | N |
| 4 | 4 | THE PERFECT MATCH J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 10 | 7.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | WARRIORS DREAM K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 2 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | EXCEED THE WISH L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 8 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | DAY DAY VICTORY L Ferraris · C W Chang | L Ferraris | C W Chang | 11 | 9.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | GOKO WIN H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 5 | 4.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | BIG RETURN Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 9 | 9.7 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | SERGEANT PEPPER Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 49.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | SOMELOVEFROMABOVE M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 4 | 5.7 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | CIRRUS SPEED M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 35.0 | 6-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SOMELOVEFROMABOVE | 16.1% | 6.21 | 11 |
| 2 | 4 | THE PERFECT MATCH | 15.8% | 6.34 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | GOKO WIN | 10.3% | 9.71 | 8 |
| 4 | 1 | DAY DAY VICTORY | 10.2% | 9.82 | 7 |
| 5 | 3 | MEOWTH | 9.7% | 10.30 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | BIG RETURN | 7.6% | 13.16 | 9 |
| 7 | 11 | EXCEED THE WISH | 6.6% | 15.14 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | RUN RUN SMART | 6.5% | 15.39 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | WARRIORS DREAM | 6.3% | 15.76 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | AMAZING KID | 5.2% | 19.06 | 1 |
| 11 | 8 | CIRRUS SPEED | 3.1% | 32.28 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 2.6% | 39.16 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 120.5
PLACE
3 40.5
5 26.5
12 38
QUINELLA
3,12 660
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 142
3,12 205
5,12 125.5
FORECAST
12,3 1,382
TIERCE
12,3,5 12,378
TRIO
3,5,12 1,796
FIRST 4
3,4,5,12 3,844
QUARTET
12,3,5,4 99,284
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,7,8/3,5,12 966,591
6TH DOUBLE
7/3 648
7/12 2,076.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
7,8,12/3,7,8/Any Combination 486,098