Happy Valley · 2025-12-17 · 13:50
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-12-17 was Class 4 over 1200m. AMAZING KID, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by J Size, won, with MEOWTH second and RUN RUN SMART third. The 4.9 favourite GOKO WIN finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | AMAZING KID 1:10.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 1 | 12.0 | — |
| 2 | 3 | MEOWTH C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 12 | 12.0 | HD |
| 3 | 5 | RUN RUN SMART H Doyle · F C Lor | H Doyle | F C Lor | 7 | 7.4 | N |
| 4 | 4 | THE PERFECT MATCH J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 10 | 7.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | WARRIORS DREAM K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 2 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | EXCEED THE WISH L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 8 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | DAY DAY VICTORY L Ferraris · C W Chang | L Ferraris | C W Chang | 11 | 9.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | GOKO WIN H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 5 | 4.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | BIG RETURN Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 9 | 9.7 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | SERGEANT PEPPER Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 49.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | SOMELOVEFROMABOVE M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 4 | 5.7 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | CIRRUS SPEED M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 35.0 | 6-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SOMELOVEFROMABOVE | 16.1% | 6.21 | 11 |
| 2 | 4 | THE PERFECT MATCH | 15.8% | 6.34 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | GOKO WIN | 10.3% | 9.71 | 8 |
| 4 | 1 | DAY DAY VICTORY | 10.2% | 9.82 | 7 |
| 5 | 3 | MEOWTH | 9.7% | 10.30 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | BIG RETURN | 7.6% | 13.16 | 9 |
| 7 | 11 | EXCEED THE WISH | 6.6% | 15.14 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | RUN RUN SMART | 6.5% | 15.39 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | WARRIORS DREAM | 6.3% | 15.76 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | AMAZING KID | 5.2% | 19.06 | 1 |
| 11 | 8 | CIRRUS SPEED | 3.1% | 32.28 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 2.6% | 39.16 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 120.5
PLACE
3 40.5
5 26.5
12 38
QUINELLA
3,12 660
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 142
3,12 205
5,12 125.5
FORECAST
12,3 1,382
TIERCE
12,3,5 12,378
TRIO
3,5,12 1,796
FIRST 4
3,4,5,12 3,844
QUARTET
12,3,5,4 99,284
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,7,8/3,5,12 966,591
6TH DOUBLE
7/3 648
7/12 2,076.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
7,8,12/3,7,8/Any Combination 486,098