Happy Valley · 2025-12-17 · 21:10
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | YOUNG BRAVO Closed strongly 1:49.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 6 | 31.0 | — |
| 2 | 8 | CHINA WIN Closed strongly Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 1 | 3.1 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | LUCK IS BACK Closed strongly R Kingscote · K W Lui | R Kingscote | K W Lui | 2 | 26.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | SHARPEN BRIGHT Closed strongly M Guyon · Y S Tsui | M Guyon | Y S Tsui | 3 | 12.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | GOOD LUCK WIN Led early Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 8 | 43.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | NEARLY FINE Closed strongly H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 9 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | PACKING HURRICANE Closed strongly C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 10 | 21.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | FIREFOOT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 5 | 6.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | DOUBLE WIN H Doyle · K L Man | H Doyle | K L Man | 7 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 1 | SURE JOYFUL Closed strongly M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 11 | 38.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 11 | FLOOF K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 4 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | FORTUNE STAR L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 12 | 4.4 | 5-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-12-17 was Class 4 over 1800m. YOUNG BRAVO, ridden by J Orman and trained by D J Hall, won, with CHINA WIN second and LUCK IS BACK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite CHINA WIN finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | CHINA WIN | 27.5% | 3.63 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | FORTUNE STAR | 14.3% | 6.98 | 12 |
| 3 | 12 | FIREFOOT | 8.8% | 11.43 | 8 |
| 4 | 5 | DOUBLE WIN | 8.7% | 11.53 | 9 |
| 5 | 4 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 8.4% | 11.94 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | FLOOF | 8.3% | 12.01 | 11 |
| 7 | 2 | NEARLY FINE | 7.9% | 12.63 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | YOUNG BRAVO | 3.9% | 25.67 | 1 |
| 9 | 6 | PACKING HURRICANE | 3.9% | 25.81 | 7 |
| 10 | 3 | LUCK IS BACK | 3.7% | 27.07 | 3 |
| 11 | 1 | SURE JOYFUL | 2.5% | 40.23 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | GOOD LUCK WIN | 2.1% | 46.75 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 315.5
PLACE
3 63
7 64
8 16.5
QUINELLA
7,8 410
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 860
3,8 165.5
7,8 143
FORECAST
7,8 1,378
TIERCE
7,8,3 25,172
TRIO
3,7,8 3,130
FIRST 4
3,4,7,8 8,359
QUARTET
7,8,3,4 280,498
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
12/7 3,593
12/8 267.5