Happy Valley · 2025-12-17 · 14:20
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-12-17 was Class 3 over 1000m. CANDLELIGHT DINNER, ridden by M Guyon and trained by Y S Tsui, won, with HEALTHY HEALTHY second and METRO POWER third. The 3.5 favourite HEALTHY HEALTHY finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER 0:56.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Guyon · Y S Tsui | M Guyon | Y S Tsui | 10 | 6.4 | — |
| 2 | 7 | HEALTHY HEALTHY H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 1 | 3.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | METRO POWER L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 8 | 21.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | SUPERB KING H Doyle · K W Lui | H Doyle | K W Lui | 9 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | ETERNAL FORTUNE H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 11 | 9.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | LOVE TOGETHER C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 3.8 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | CASA OF HONOR M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 6 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | DEVAS TWELVE M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 31.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | HAYDAY A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 2 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 12 | 25.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | SIX THREE WIN K Teetan · M Newnham | K Teetan | M Newnham | 4 | 47.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 4 | BLUE ILLUSION R Kingscote · P C Ng | R Kingscote | P C Ng | 7 | 16.0 | 14-1/2 |
| — | 7 | PARENTS' LOVE Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | LOVE TOGETHER | 27.4% | 3.66 | 6 |
| 2 | 7 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 22.6% | 4.42 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | ETERNAL FORTUNE | 11.3% | 8.82 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | CASA OF HONOR | 10.1% | 9.89 | 7 |
| 5 | 4 | BLUE ILLUSION | 5.3% | 18.83 | 12 |
| 6 | 12 | SUPERB KING | 4.7% | 21.06 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER | 3.8% | 26.47 | 1 |
| 8 | 11 | DEVAS TWELVE | 3.7% | 26.68 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | HAYDAY | 3.4% | 29.14 | 9 |
| 10 | 3 | METRO POWER | 3.1% | 32.14 | 3 |
| 11 | 1 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS | 2.8% | 35.34 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | SIX THREE WIN | 1.6% | 61.80 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 64.5
PLACE
3 58
7 15
9 23.5
QUINELLA
7,9 165.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 142.5
3,9 264.5
7,9 58.5
FORECAST
9,7 275
TIERCE
9,7,3 4,175
TRIO
3,7,9 831
FIRST 4
3,7,9,12 2,728
QUARTET
9,7,3,12 43,542
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
12/7 99.5
12/9 1,350