Happy Valley · 2025-12-17 · 20:11
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE Closed strongly 1:40.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 6 | 6.8 | — |
| 2 | 2 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY Closed strongly C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 3 | 3.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | SUPERB GUY Closed strongly C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 8 | 22.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | FIGHTING MACHINE Closed strongly M Guyon · P C Ng | M Guyon | P C Ng | 10 | 25.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | TOP TIME Closed strongly Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 9 | 3.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | ICONICAL A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 7 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | MADE FOR LIFE B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 4 | 8.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | METAL KING Closed strongly M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 11 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | UP WITH CHARM Led early K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 5 | 50.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | SMART CITY H Doyle · P F Yiu | H Doyle | P F Yiu | 2 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | HAPPY ACTION M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 19.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | COLOURFUL KNIGHT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 12 | 64.0 | 11 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2025-12-17 was Class 4 over 1650m. CALIFORNIA MOXIE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by A S Cruz, won, with GLORIOUS JOURNEY second and SUPERB GUY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite TOP TIME finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | TOP TIME | 30.1% | 3.32 | 5 |
| 2 | 8 | SMART CITY | 16.7% | 6.01 | 10 |
| 3 | 2 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY | 10.7% | 9.33 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | MADE FOR LIFE | 9.5% | 10.51 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | HAPPY ACTION | 9.1% | 11.00 | 11 |
| 6 | 6 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE | 6.2% | 16.10 | 1 |
| 7 | 10 | SUPERB GUY | 4.9% | 20.39 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | METAL KING | 3.5% | 28.87 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 3.1% | 31.81 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | ICONICAL | 3.1% | 32.35 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | UP WITH CHARM | 2.2% | 46.33 | 9 |
| 12 | 3 | COLOURFUL KNIGHT | 0.9% | 110.38 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 68
PLACE
2 14
6 21
10 53
QUINELLA
2,6 128
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 48
2,10 108.5
6,10 195.5
FORECAST
6,2 267
TIERCE
6,2,10 3,519
TRIO
2,6,10 662
FIRST 4
2,4,6,10 2,683
QUARTET
6,2,10,4 34,636
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
1/2 147.5
1/6 1,215.5