沙田 · 2026-01-11 · 07:35
HUNG MUI KUK HANDICAP
第 7場
2026-01-11沙田第7場「HUNG MUI KUK HANDICAP」，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由L Ferraris策騎、D Eustace訓練的YOUNG EMPEROR勝出。CHILL BUDDY獲得亞軍；CELESTIAL HERO獲得季軍。2.0倍大熱門SZERYNG跑獲第12名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | YOUNG EMPEROR TT 1:08.74 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 11 | 68.0 | — |
| 2 | 9 | CHILL BUDDY TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 12 | 12.0 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | CELESTIAL HERO CP H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 7 | 27.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE CP/TT A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 4 | 6.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | AURORA PATCH V/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 3 | 3.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | MATZDEN TT1 A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 1 | 32.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | PAKISTAN LEGACY B/TT J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 6 | 41.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 8 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS B/TT L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 8 | 21.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | MATTERS MOST B/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 5 | 25.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | ALPHA STRIKE TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 31.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | WIN EASE TT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 10 | 158.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | SZERYNG H1/TT1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 2 | 2.0 | ML |
| — | 0 | GLITTERING LEGEND XB · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | LET'S HAVE FUN CP · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SZERYNG | 32.5% | 3.08 | 12 |
| 2 | 4 | AURORA PATCH | 14.1% | 7.07 | 5 |
| 3 | 12 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE | 9.1% | 10.97 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | CHILL BUDDY | 8.5% | 11.72 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | CELESTIAL HERO | 7.5% | 13.28 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | ALPHA STRIKE | 7.4% | 13.44 | 10 |
| 7 | 2 | MATTERS MOST | 5.9% | 16.83 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS | 5.7% | 17.50 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | MATZDEN | 2.9% | 34.76 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | YOUNG EMPEROR | 2.9% | 34.80 | 1 |
| 11 | 3 | PAKISTAN LEGACY | 2.6% | 38.28 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | WIN EASE | 0.7% | 134.26 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 688.5
PLACE
1 49
7 128.5
9 33.5
QUINELLA
7,9 3,399.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 764
1,9 318.5
7,9 746.5
FORECAST
7,9 6,064
TIERCE
7,9,1 89,575
TRIO
1,7,9 11,958
FIRST 4
1,7,9,12 19,862
QUARTET
7,9,1,12 851,749
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,10/1,7,9 953,576
6TH DOUBLE
5/7 4,617
5/9 282
TRIPLE TRIO
4,5,6/1,5,10/1,7,9 12,620,236
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,5,6/1,5,10/Any Combination 253