沙田 · 2026-01-11 · 06:30
WU KAU TANG HANDICAP
第 5場
2026-01-11沙田第5場「WU KAU TANG HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、K L Man訓練的ROBOT STAR勝出。STRATHPEFFER獲得亞軍；CROSSBORDERDUDE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ROBOT STAR 後段發力 CP 1:22.00 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 7 | 3.0 | — |
| 2 | 4 | STRATHPEFFER 早段領放 B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 10 | 5.6 | N |
| 3 | 6 | CROSSBORDERDUDE 後段發力 B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 7.6 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | STAR SATYR 後段發力 TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | BROWNNEEDSFURTHER TT J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 3 | 9.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | OLDTOWN 後段發力 TT L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 2 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | AMAZING AWARD B/TT C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 11 | 24.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | FORTUNE KINGO 後段發力 H R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 4 | 24.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | YOUNG FIGHTER PC/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 8 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | BRAVE WIN CP C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | MANAPHY XB/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 13 | 191.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | PRECISION HOPE A Badel · D A Hayes | A Badel | D A Hayes | 9 | 51.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 8 | SHINYU KOKOROE P2 D Probert · B Crawford | D Probert | B Crawford | 5 | 46.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 13 | APOLAR FIGHTER B/TT M Guyon · D Eustace | M Guyon | D Eustace | 14 | 43.0 | 17-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SMART FAT CAT CP/H/TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
| WV | 13 | ROMAN CROWN B/TT M Guyon · P C Ng | M Guyon | P C Ng | 14 | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ROBOT STAR | 20.4% | 4.91 | 1 |
| 2 | 13 | APOLAR FIGHTER | 14.8% | 6.76 | 14 |
| 3 | 4 | STRATHPEFFER | 9.6% | 10.40 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | BROWNNEEDSFURTHER | 7.9% | 12.73 | 5 |
| 5 | 14 | YOUNG FIGHTER | 7.8% | 12.88 | 9 |
| 6 | 3 | AMAZING AWARD | 7.6% | 13.22 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | STAR SATYR | 7.1% | 14.11 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | OLDTOWN | 6.8% | 14.64 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | CROSSBORDERDUDE | 5.0% | 20.02 | 3 |
| 10 | 10 | BRAVE WIN | 4.0% | 24.90 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | FORTUNE KINGO | 3.4% | 29.20 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | PRECISION HOPE | 2.5% | 40.35 | 12 |
| 13 | 8 | SHINYU KOKOROE | 1.6% | 61.57 | 13 |
| 14 | 11 | MANAPHY | 1.6% | 62.80 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 30.5
PLACE
4 18.5
5 16
6 24
QUINELLA
4,5 94.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 42
4,6 63
5,6 48.5
FORECAST
5,4 188
TIERCE
5,4,6 757
TRIO
4,5,6 195
FIRST 4
1,4,5,6 214
QUARTET
5,4,6,1 3,518
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
3/6/4 1,395
3/6/5 6,940
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,11/4,5,6 8,697
4TH DOUBLE
6/4 139
6/5 341