沙田 · 2026-01-11 · 07:00
HEBE HAVEN HANDICAP
第 6場
2026-01-11沙田第6場「HEBE HAVEN HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、D A Hayes訓練的CHINA WIN勝出。AUDACIOUS PURSUIT獲得亞軍；VOLCANIC SPARK獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.0倍大熱門AUDACIOUS PURSUIT跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CHINA WIN 後段發力 B- 1:46.81 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 14 | 5.9 | — |
| 2 | 1 | AUDACIOUS PURSUIT 後段發力 TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 13 | 4.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | VOLCANIC SPARK 後段發力 B M Guyon · P F Yiu | M Guyon | P F Yiu | 4 | 4.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | CHARITY TOGETHER 後段發力 CP1/TT D B McMonagle · D Eustace | D B McMonagle | D Eustace | 12 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | YOUNG BRAVO 後段發力 CP/XB J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 2 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | SUPER GOLDENDRAGON 後段發力 CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 8 | 120.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | PEARL OF PANG'S B/TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 5 | 15.0 | 11 |
| 8 | 6 | PACKING HURRICANE B/TT H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 1 | 9.9 | 11-3/4 |
| 9 | 14 | KASA PAPA 後段發力 TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 11 | 12.0 | 12 |
| 10 | 13 | OUR LUCKY GLORY TT L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 7 | 22.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY 早段領放 B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 3 | 58.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | LUCK IS BACK CP R Kingscote · K W Lui | R Kingscote | K W Lui | 6 | 27.0 | 18-3/4 |
| 13 | 9 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY V A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 9 | 19.0 | 19-1/2 |
| 14 | 11 | FLOOF K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 10 | 46.0 | 21-3/4 |
| — | 0 | DILBAGH PC-/XB/B1/TT · D J Whyte | — | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | GOOD GOOD B · J Size | — | J Size | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CHINA WIN | 20.6% | 4.85 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | AUDACIOUS PURSUIT | 13.2% | 7.56 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 9.2% | 10.86 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | YOUNG BRAVO | 8.9% | 11.27 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | PACKING HURRICANE | 7.4% | 13.51 | 8 |
| 6 | 9 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY | 6.3% | 15.88 | 13 |
| 7 | 7 | PEARL OF PANG'S | 6.2% | 16.17 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 | FLOOF | 5.8% | 17.16 | 14 |
| 9 | 14 | KASA PAPA | 4.9% | 20.50 | 9 |
| 10 | 13 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 4.8% | 20.72 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | CHARITY TOGETHER | 4.7% | 21.12 | 4 |
| 12 | 3 | LUCK IS BACK | 3.8% | 26.35 | 12 |
| 13 | 12 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 3.2% | 30.87 | 11 |
| 14 | 8 | SUPER GOLDENDRAGON | 0.9% | 112.43 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 59
PLACE
1 16.5
5 23.5
10 19
QUINELLA
1,5 143.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 59
1,10 42.5
5,10 64
FORECAST
5,1 344
TIERCE
5,1,10 1,083
TRIO
1,5,10 174
FIRST 4
1,4,5,10 610
QUARTET
5,1,10,4 10,914
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
5/1 32
5/5 158