沙田 · 2026-01-11 · 09:50
STANLEY GAP HANDICAP
第 11場
2026-01-11沙田第11場「STANLEY GAP HANDICAP」，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M F Poon策騎、M Newnham訓練的LUCKY SAM GOR勝出。WITHOUT COMPARE獲得亞軍；BLAZING WUKONG獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.2倍大熱門BLAZING WUKONG跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | LUCKY SAM GOR 後段發力 XB 1:22.33 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · M Newnham | M F Poon | M Newnham | 10 | 5.7 | — |
| 2 | 7 | WITHOUT COMPARE 後段發力 P-/TT1 H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 14 | 82.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 14 | BLAZING WUKONG TT- A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 7 | 3.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | HELENE SUPAFEELING 後段發力 H/XB/TT H Bowman · D Eustace | H Bowman | D Eustace | 8 | 5.9 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | IVY LEAGUE SR/TT R Kingscote · D J Whyte | R Kingscote | D J Whyte | 6 | 78.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | AKASHVANI 後段發力 B L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 13 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | MIGHTY STEED CP M Guyon · K W Lui | M Guyon | K W Lui | 12 | 28.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | GOLDEN EMPIRE B K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 3 | 35.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | TIN FOOK CP Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 5.1 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | CIRCUIT GRAND SLAM C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 5 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | CHEAHA TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 4 | 71.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | KING OF SELECTION B1/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 11 | 135.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 4 | MASTER OF ALL 早段領放 B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 9 | 27.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 0 | TOURBILLON PRINCE TT · C W Chang | — | C W Chang | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SO YOU WILL TT · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| DISQ | 6 | STORMY GROVE 後段發力 H1/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 1 | 10.0 | NOSE |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HELENE SUPAFEELING | 18.4% | 5.43 | 4 |
| 2 | 9 | TIN FOOK | 17.7% | 5.64 | 9 |
| 3 | 14 | BLAZING WUKONG | 13.0% | 7.71 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | CIRCUIT GRAND SLAM | 11.6% | 8.66 | 10 |
| 5 | 13 | LUCKY SAM GOR | 8.5% | 11.73 | 1 |
| 6 | 12 | MIGHTY STEED | 7.8% | 12.82 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | AKASHVANI | 6.3% | 15.98 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 3.8% | 26.00 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | IVY LEAGUE | 3.5% | 28.49 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | MASTER OF ALL | 3.4% | 29.11 | 13 |
| 11 | 7 | WITHOUT COMPARE | 2.5% | 40.18 | 2 |
| 12 | 5 | CHEAHA | 2.5% | 40.31 | 11 |
| 13 | 11 | KING OF SELECTION | 1.0% | 100.88 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 57
PLACE
6 28.5
7 202
13 23
QUINELLA
6,13 343
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 1,345
6,13 109
7,13 866.5
FORECAST
13,6 725
TIERCE
13,6,7 38,158
TRIO
6,7,13 11,154
FIRST 4
6,7,13,14 5,410
QUARTET
13,6,7,14 152,353
全部彩池（另 4 項）
10TH DOUBLE
1/6 60
1/13 163.5
2ND TREBLE
14/1/6 1,678
14/1/13 8,500
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,10/6,7,13 385,375
SIX UP
1,5/7,9/8,13/2,14/1,2/6,13 67,831
1 [M Newnham] —
1 [Z Purton] —