沙田 · 2026-01-11 · 05:00
WU KAI SHA HANDICAP
第 2場
2026-01-11沙田第2場「WU KAI SHA HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、P C Ng訓練的MAJESTIC VALOUR勝出。LUCKY RANGER獲得亞軍；WARRIORS DREAM獲得季軍。2.0倍大熱門LUCKY RANGER跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MAJESTIC VALOUR 1:09.04 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 9 | 2.9 | — |
| 2 | 5 | LUCKY RANGER L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 12 | 2.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | WARRIORS DREAM H/XB K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 5 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | SEA DIAMOND SR1/TT1 H Bowman · D Eustace | H Bowman | D Eustace | 8 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | HOLMES A COURT B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 1 | 46.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | DASH CP/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 24.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | YEUX DE LIFELINE B1/TT1 A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 11 | 137.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | AUTUMN VIBES H2/TT M Guyon · J Richards | M Guyon | J Richards | 3 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | QUICK MONEY XB/TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 10 | 46.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | HONORARY CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 4 | 26.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | MONEY TYCOON CP1 M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 2 | 34.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | HAPPY ALLIANCE TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 115.0 | 15-1/2 |
| — | 0 | CIRCUIT HAPPY H/SR · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | TYCOON EXPRESS H1/PC1/TT1 · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MAJESTIC VALOUR | 28.9% | 3.46 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | SEA DIAMOND | 14.1% | 7.08 | 4 |
| 3 | 11 | AUTUMN VIBES | 11.1% | 9.04 | 8 |
| 4 | 7 | WARRIORS DREAM | 10.5% | 9.54 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | LUCKY RANGER | 7.2% | 13.82 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | DASH | 6.5% | 15.43 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | HAPPY ALLIANCE | 4.9% | 20.22 | 12 |
| 8 | 4 | HONORARY | 4.9% | 20.25 | 10 |
| 9 | 3 | QUICK MONEY | 4.0% | 25.03 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | HOLMES A COURT | 2.8% | 35.59 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | YEUX DE LIFELINE | 2.5% | 40.05 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | MONEY TYCOON | 2.5% | 40.13 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 29
PLACE
1 13.5
5 11.5
7 29.5
QUINELLA
1,5 31
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 18
1,7 77
5,7 76.5
FORECAST
1,5 98
TIERCE
1,5,7 540
TRIO
1,5,7 118
FIRST 4
1,5,6,7 236
QUARTET
1,5,7,6 3,111
全部彩池（另 1 項）
1ST DOUBLE
1/1 193
1/5 29.5