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Sha Tin · 2026-01-11 · 05:00

WU KAI SHA HANDICAP

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 2 ("WU KAI SHA HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-11 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MAJESTIC VALOUR, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P C Ng, won, with LUCKY RANGER second and WARRIORS DREAM third. The 2.0 favourite LUCKY RANGER finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1:09.04
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 MAJESTIC VALOUR 1:09.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P C Ng 9 2.9
2 5 LUCKY RANGER L Ferraris · M Newnham 12 2.0 1-3/4
3 7 WARRIORS DREAM H/XB K Teetan · B Crawford 5 15.0 3-1/2
4 6 SEA DIAMOND SR1/TT1 H Bowman · D Eustace 8 18.0 4-1/2
5 2 HOLMES A COURT B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 1 46.0 5
6 12 DASH CP/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 7 24.0 5-1/4
7 10 YEUX DE LIFELINE B1/TT1 A Atzeni · J Size 11 137.0 5-1/2
8 11 AUTUMN VIBES H2/TT M Guyon · J Richards 3 10.0 5-3/4
9 3 QUICK MONEY XB/TT C L Chau · C H Yip 10 46.0 7-1/4
10 4 HONORARY CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 4 26.0 8-1/2
11 9 MONEY TYCOON CP1 M L Yeung · F C Lor 2 34.0 14-3/4
12 8 HAPPY ALLIANCE TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 6 115.0 15-1/2
0 CIRCUIT HAPPY H/SR · D A Hayes
0 TYCOON EXPRESS H1/PC1/TT1 · C Fownes

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MAJESTIC VALOUR2. LUCKY RANGER+1.75L3. WARRIORS DREAM+3.5L4. SEA DIAMOND+4.5L5. HOLMES A COURT+5L6. DASH+5.25L7. YEUX DE LIFELINE+5.5L8. AUTUMN VIBES+5.75L9. QUICK MONEY+7.25L10. HONORARY+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick MAJESTIC VALOUR (28.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 MAJESTIC VALOUR 28.9% 3.46 1
2 6 SEA DIAMOND 14.1% 7.08 4
3 11 AUTUMN VIBES 11.1% 9.04 8
4 7 WARRIORS DREAM 10.5% 9.54 3
5 5 LUCKY RANGER 7.2% 13.82 2
6 12 DASH 6.5% 15.43 6
7 8 HAPPY ALLIANCE 4.9% 20.22 12
8 4 HONORARY 4.9% 20.25 10
9 3 QUICK MONEY 4.0% 25.03 9
10 2 HOLMES A COURT 2.8% 35.59 5
11 10 YEUX DE LIFELINE 2.5% 40.05 7
12 9 MONEY TYCOON 2.5% 40.13 11
MAJESTIC VALOUR — wonSEA DIAMONDAUTUMN VIBESWARRIORS DREAMLUCKY RANGERDASHHAPPY ALLIANCEHONORARYQUICK MONEYHOLMES A COURTYEUX DE LIFELINEMONEY TYCOON

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 29

PLACE

1 13.5

5 11.5

7 29.5

QUINELLA

1,5 31

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 18

1,7 77

5,7 76.5

FORECAST

1,5 98

TIERCE

1,5,7 540

TRIO

1,5,7 118

FIRST 4

1,5,6,7 236

QUARTET

1,5,7,6 3,111

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

1/1 193

1/5 29.5