Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2026-01-11 · 04:30

CHEK KENG HANDICAP

Race 1

Class 5 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 1 ("CHEK KENG HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-11 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SNOWTHORN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P F Yiu, won, with SHOTGUN second and MAJESTIC DELIGHT third. The 4.8 favourite I P O BROS finished 4th.

Result

Official · 1:09.77
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 SNOWTHORN B-/TT 1:09.77 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P F Yiu 12 6.0
2 7 SHOTGUN B/XB M F Poon · D J Hall 10 32.0 3/4
3 5 MAJESTIC DELIGHT XB/TT C L Chau · D Eustace 11 6.1 1
4 2 I P O BROS B J Orman · Y S Tsui 1 4.8 1-1/2
5 6 MY FLYING ANGEL B A Badel · F C Lor 2 7.6 2
6 3 KING ALLOY B R Kingscote · K H Ting 9 5.4 2-1/4
7 4 INNO CENTURY CP1/TT M Chadwick · W Y So 5 34.0 4
8 10 THE WAY WE WIN V M L Yeung · J Richards 4 22.0 4
9 8 TEAM HAPPY B/TT M Guyon · P C Ng 8 8.1 5
10 11 EURO ROCKS B/TT K Teetan · C H Yip 6 14.0 7-1/2
11 12 SUPER ELITE B/TT A Atzeni · D J Whyte 7 26.0 9-3/4
12 9 YOU'REMYEVERYTHING CP/TT2 H T Mo · C W Chang 3 40.0 13
0 GENERAL SMART CP/XB/TT · C S Shum
0 HAPPY BOYS XB · M Newnham

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SNOWTHORN2. SHOTGUN+0.75L3. MAJESTIC DELIGHT+1L4. I P O BROS+1.5L5. MY FLYING ANGEL+2L6. KING ALLOY+2.25L7. INNO CENTURY+4L8. THE WAY WE WIN+4L9. TEAM HAPPY+5L10. EURO ROCKS+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SNOWTHORN (19.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 SNOWTHORN 19.8% 5.05 1
2 5 MAJESTIC DELIGHT 12.4% 8.08 3
3 6 MY FLYING ANGEL 11.8% 8.49 5
4 2 I P O BROS 11.7% 8.54 4
5 8 TEAM HAPPY 9.8% 10.25 9
6 3 KING ALLOY 6.9% 14.53 6
7 4 INNO CENTURY 6.4% 15.74 7
8 11 EURO ROCKS 5.5% 18.33 10
9 7 SHOTGUN 4.9% 20.31 2
10 12 SUPER ELITE 4.8% 20.82 11
11 10 THE WAY WE WIN 4.3% 23.39 8
12 9 YOU'REMYEVERYTHING 1.9% 53.22 12
SNOWTHORN — wonMAJESTIC DELIGHTMY FLYING ANGELI P O BROSTEAM HAPPYKING ALLOYINNO CENTURYEURO ROCKSSHOTGUNSUPER ELITETHE WAY WE WINYOU'REMYEVERYTHING

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 60.5

PLACE

1 28

5 19.5

7 77

QUINELLA

1,7 1,271.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 73.5

1,7 353.5

5,7 278

FORECAST

1,7 1,600

TIERCE

1,7,5 10,792

TRIO

1,5,7 1,694

FIRST 4

1,2,5,7 1,859

QUARTET

1,7,5,2 53,017