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Sha Tin · 2026-01-11 · 15:00

HEBE HAVEN HANDICAP

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1800m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1:46.81
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 CHINA WIN Closed strongly B- 1:46.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes 14 5.9 —
2 1 AUDACIOUS PURSUIT Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes 13 4.0 2-1/2
3 10 VOLCANIC SPARK Closed strongly B M Guyon · P F Yiu 4 4.7 3-1/4
4 4 CHARITY TOGETHER Closed strongly CP1/TT D B McMonagle · D Eustace 12 16.0 3-1/2
5 2 YOUNG BRAVO Closed strongly CP/XB J Orman · D J Hall 2 10.0 3-3/4
6 8 SUPER GOLDENDRAGON Closed strongly CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 8 120.0 9-1/2
7 7 PEARL OF PANG'S B/TT C Y Ho · K L Man 5 15.0 11
8 6 PACKING HURRICANE B/TT H Bentley · P C Ng 1 9.9 11-3/4
9 14 KASA PAPA Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz 11 12.0 12
10 13 OUR LUCKY GLORY TT L Ferraris · W Y So 7 22.0 12-3/4
11 12 JOYFUL PROSPERITY Led early B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum 3 58.0 14-1/2
12 3 LUCK IS BACK CP R Kingscote · K W Lui 6 27.0 18-3/4
13 9 YIU CHEUNG VICTORY V A Badel · C H Yip 9 19.0 19-1/2
14 11 FLOOF K Teetan · B Crawford 10 46.0 21-3/4
— 0 DILBAGH PC-/XB/B1/TT · D J Whyte — — —
— 0 GOOD GOOD B · J Size — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 ("HEBE HAVEN HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-11 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. CHINA WIN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won, with AUDACIOUS PURSUIT second and VOLCANIC SPARK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite AUDACIOUS PURSUIT finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CHINA WIN—2. AUDACIOUS PURSUIT+2.5L3. VOLCANIC SPARK+3.25L4. CHARITY TOGETHER+3.5L5. YOUNG BRAVO+3.75L6. SUPER GOLDENDRAGON+9.5L7. PEARL OF PANG'S+11L8. PACKING HURRICANE+11.75L9. KASA PAPA+12L10. OUR LUCKY GLORY+12.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick CHINA WIN (20.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 CHINA WIN 20.6% 4.85 1
2 1 AUDACIOUS PURSUIT 13.2% 7.56 2
3 10 VOLCANIC SPARK 9.2% 10.86 3
4 2 YOUNG BRAVO 8.9% 11.27 5
5 6 PACKING HURRICANE 7.4% 13.51 8
6 9 YIU CHEUNG VICTORY 6.3% 15.88 13
7 7 PEARL OF PANG'S 6.2% 16.17 7
8 11 FLOOF 5.8% 17.16 14
9 14 KASA PAPA 4.9% 20.50 9
10 13 OUR LUCKY GLORY 4.8% 20.72 10
11 4 CHARITY TOGETHER 4.7% 21.12 4
12 3 LUCK IS BACK 3.8% 26.35 12
13 12 JOYFUL PROSPERITY 3.2% 30.87 11
14 8 SUPER GOLDENDRAGON 0.9% 112.43 6
CHINA WIN — wonAUDACIOUS PURSUITVOLCANIC SPARKYOUNG BRAVOPACKING HURRICANEYIU CHEUNG VICTORYPEARL OF PANG'SFLOOFKASA PAPAOUR LUCKY GLORYCHARITY TOGETHERLUCK IS BACKJOYFUL PROSPERITYSUPER GOLDENDRAGON

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 59

PLACE

1 16.5

5 23.5

10 19

QUINELLA

1,5 143.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 59

1,10 42.5

5,10 64

FORECAST

5,1 344

TIERCE

5,1,10 1,083

TRIO

1,5,10 174

FIRST 4

1,4,5,10 610

QUARTET

5,1,10,4 10,914

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

5/1 32

5/5 158