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Sha Tin · 2026-01-11 · 05:30

WU KAI SHA HANDICAP

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 3 ("WU KAI SHA HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-11 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ELITE GOLF, ridden by H Bentley and trained by W Y So, won, with HAPPY SHOOTER second and EVER LUCK third. The 1.4 favourite EVER LUCK finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1:09.59
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 ELITE GOLF 1:09.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · W Y So 6 15.0
2 7 HAPPY SHOOTER TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 12 42.0 3/4
3 1 EVER LUCK CP1 J Orman · M Newnham 3 1.4 1-1/4
4 8 KA YING WARRIOR XB K Teetan · B Crawford 2 7.2 1-3/4
5 10 CIRRUS SPEED M F Poon · D J Hall 1 81.0 3-1/4
6 2 CHILL PARTNERS C L Chau · K W Lui 11 16.0 3-3/4
7 12 POWER SUMMIT CP D Probert · D Eustace 9 55.0 4-1/2
8 9 LUCKY MCQUEEN H/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 5 8.0 4-1/2
9 6 CONRAD THE GREAT XB/SR1/TT K C Leung · D J Whyte 4 60.0 5
10 4 MAJESTIC LIFE TT1 Y L Chung · C H Yip 10 86.0 5
11 5 AQUAMAN H-/CP1/TT R Kingscote · C W Chang 8 106.0 6-1/2
12 11 GROOVY FEELING CP/TT M L Yeung · J Richards 7 48.0 11
0 YOUNG LEGACY P-/B1 · J Size
0 RUBY SAILING TT · K L Man

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ELITE GOLF2. HAPPY SHOOTER+0.75L3. EVER LUCK+1.25L4. KA YING WARRIOR+1.75L5. CIRRUS SPEED+3.25L6. CHILL PARTNERS+3.75L7. POWER SUMMIT+4.5L8. LUCKY MCQUEEN+4.5L9. CONRAD THE GREAT+5L10. MAJESTIC LIFE+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick EVER LUCK (38.9%) finished 3rd — the winner ELITE GOLF was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 EVER LUCK 38.9% 2.57 3
2 8 KA YING WARRIOR 14.4% 6.93 4
3 9 LUCKY MCQUEEN 12.1% 8.26 8
4 2 CHILL PARTNERS 9.6% 10.45 6
5 3 ELITE GOLF 6.7% 14.82 1
6 4 MAJESTIC LIFE 5.6% 17.81 10
7 10 CIRRUS SPEED 3.7% 27.32 5
8 11 GROOVY FEELING 2.4% 41.01 12
9 7 HAPPY SHOOTER 2.3% 42.83 2
10 5 AQUAMAN 1.5% 68.24 11
11 6 CONRAD THE GREAT 1.5% 68.31 9
12 12 POWER SUMMIT 1.2% 81.58 7
EVER LUCKKA YING WARRIORLUCKY MCQUEENCHILL PARTNERSELITE GOLF — wonMAJESTIC LIFECIRRUS SPEEDGROOVY FEELINGHAPPY SHOOTERAQUAMANCONRAD THE GREATPOWER SUMMIT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 155.5

PLACE

1 10.5

3 27.5

7 54.5

QUINELLA

3,7 1,959.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 32

1,7 74

3,7 413.5

FORECAST

3,7 3,488

TIERCE

3,7,1 7,934

TRIO

1,3,7 578

FIRST 4

1,3,7,8 631

QUARTET

3,7,1,8 40,887

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

1,5,7/1,3,7 19,769

2ND DOUBLE

1/3 402

1/7 265