Sha Tin · 2026-01-11 · 17:15
PAK SHEK AU HANDICAP
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | INVINCIBLE IBIS Closed strongly CP 1:34.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 3 | 2.8 | — |
| 2 | 2 | BEAUTY BOLT Closed strongly TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 14 | 4.4 | N |
| 3 | 10 | THE RED HARE Closed strongly H/P/TT M Guyon · F C Lor | M Guyon | F C Lor | 6 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 14 | SUPREME MASTERMIND Closed strongly XB-/H2/TT- M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 50.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | CALIFORNIA WAVES Closed strongly B/XB/TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 12 | 41.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | FIT FOR BEAUTY H A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 2 | 4.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | WIN BEAUTY VIVA Closed strongly K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 10 | 22.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | LEGEND WINNER Closed strongly B-/CP2/TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 1 | 10.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | DARYL FLASH D B McMonagle · Y S Tsui | D B McMonagle | Y S Tsui | 8 | 73.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | URANUS STAR Led early L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 4 | 21.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 13 | GRATIFIDE Closed strongly XB R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 13 | 50.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | NATURAL NUMBERS B2 J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 9 | 134.0 | 10 |
| 13 | 5 | CLASS Closed strongly C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 11 | 129.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 7 | HOTT SHOTT TT1 M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 5 | 68.0 | 22-3/4 |
| — | 0 | AERODYNAMICS TT · M Newnham | — | M Newnham | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SHAMZ TT · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 ("PAK SHEK AU HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-11 was Class 3 (Restricted) over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. INVINCIBLE IBIS, ridden by H Bowman and trained by M Newnham, won, with BEAUTY BOLT second and THE RED HARE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | INVINCIBLE IBIS | 26.0% | 3.85 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | BEAUTY BOLT | 19.4% | 5.16 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | FIT FOR BEAUTY | 18.4% | 5.44 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | THE RED HARE | 9.6% | 10.37 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | LEGEND WINNER | 6.0% | 16.54 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | URANUS STAR | 4.6% | 21.75 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | CALIFORNIA WAVES | 3.4% | 29.23 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | WIN BEAUTY VIVA | 3.4% | 29.75 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | HOTT SHOTT | 2.4% | 41.01 | 14 |
| 10 | 14 | SUPREME MASTERMIND | 2.1% | 47.23 | 4 |
| 11 | 3 | DARYL FLASH | 1.9% | 51.43 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | CLASS | 1.0% | 100.24 | 13 |
| 13 | 13 | GRATIFIDE | 0.9% | 109.45 | 11 |
| 14 | 4 | NATURAL NUMBERS | 0.7% | 135.80 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 28.5
PLACE
1 14.5
2 17.5
10 31
QUINELLA
1,2 67.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 29.5
1,10 57
2,10 73
FORECAST
1,2 124
TIERCE
1,2,10 662
TRIO
1,2,10 191
FIRST 4
1,2,10,14 1,808
QUARTET
1,2,10,14 10,721
All pools (1 more)
9TH DOUBLE
14/1 875.5
14/2 232.5