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Sha Tin · 2026-01-11 · 06:30

WU KAU TANG HANDICAP

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Race 5 ("WU KAU TANG HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-11 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ROBOT STAR, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won, with STRATHPEFFER second and CROSSBORDERDUDE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.

Result

Official · 1:22.00
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 ROBOT STAR Closed strongly CP 1:22.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man 7 3.0
2 4 STRATHPEFFER Led early B L Hewitson · D J Whyte 10 5.6 N
3 6 CROSSBORDERDUDE Closed strongly B B Avdulla · J Size 6 7.6 1/2
4 1 STAR SATYR Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 12 13.0 2-1/2
5 9 BROWNNEEDSFURTHER TT J Orman · D J Hall 3 9.2 3-1/4
6 2 OLDTOWN Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · W Y So 2 12.0 4
7 3 AMAZING AWARD B/TT C L Chau · D Eustace 11 24.0 5-1/4
8 12 FORTUNE KINGO Closed strongly H R Kingscote · K H Ting 4 24.0 5-1/2
9 14 YOUNG FIGHTER PC/TT K Teetan · C Fownes 8 12.0 5-3/4
10 10 BRAVE WIN CP C Y Ho · K W Lui 1 12.0 6
11 11 MANAPHY XB/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 13 191.0 6-1/4
12 7 PRECISION HOPE A Badel · D A Hayes 9 51.0 7
13 8 SHINYU KOKOROE P2 D Probert · B Crawford 5 46.0 7-1/4
14 13 APOLAR FIGHTER B/TT M Guyon · D Eustace 14 43.0 17-1/2
0 SMART FAT CAT CP/H/TT · W K Mo
WV 13 ROMAN CROWN B/TT M Guyon · P C Ng 14

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ROBOT STAR2. STRATHPEFFER+0.05L3. CROSSBORDERDUDE+0.5L4. STAR SATYR+2.5L5. BROWNNEEDSFURTHER+3.25L6. OLDTOWN+4L7. AMAZING AWARD+5.25L8. FORTUNE KINGO+5.5L9. YOUNG FIGHTER+5.75L10. BRAVE WIN+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick ROBOT STAR (20.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 ROBOT STAR 20.4% 4.91 1
2 13 APOLAR FIGHTER 14.8% 6.76 14
3 4 STRATHPEFFER 9.6% 10.40 2
4 9 BROWNNEEDSFURTHER 7.9% 12.73 5
5 14 YOUNG FIGHTER 7.8% 12.88 9
6 3 AMAZING AWARD 7.6% 13.22 7
7 1 STAR SATYR 7.1% 14.11 4
8 2 OLDTOWN 6.8% 14.64 6
9 6 CROSSBORDERDUDE 5.0% 20.02 3
10 10 BRAVE WIN 4.0% 24.90 10
11 12 FORTUNE KINGO 3.4% 29.20 8
12 7 PRECISION HOPE 2.5% 40.35 12
13 8 SHINYU KOKOROE 1.6% 61.57 13
14 11 MANAPHY 1.6% 62.80 11
ROBOT STAR — wonAPOLAR FIGHTERSTRATHPEFFERBROWNNEEDSFURTHERYOUNG FIGHTERAMAZING AWARDSTAR SATYROLDTOWNCROSSBORDERDUDEBRAVE WINFORTUNE KINGOPRECISION HOPESHINYU KOKOROEMANAPHY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 30.5

PLACE

4 18.5

5 16

6 24

QUINELLA

4,5 94.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 42

4,6 63

5,6 48.5

FORECAST

5,4 188

TIERCE

5,4,6 757

TRIO

4,5,6 195

FIRST 4

1,4,5,6 214

QUARTET

5,4,6,1 3,518

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

3/6/4 1,395

3/6/5 6,940

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,6,11/4,5,6 8,697

4TH DOUBLE

6/4 139

6/5 341