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Sha Tin · 2026-01-11 · 06:00

WU KAU TANG HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Race 4 ("WU KAU TANG HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-11 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. REZEKI, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by D J Hall, won, with ENDEARED second and CIRCUIT FIERY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.5 favourite ENDEARED finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1:21.91
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 REZEKI Closed strongly B 1:21.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · D J Hall 1 11.0
2 1 ENDEARED Closed strongly P-/XB Z Purton · J Size 10 4.5 N
3 11 CIRCUIT FIERY PC/TT H Bentley · W Y So 2 4.8 3/4
4 9 FLYING BOOM Closed strongly M F Poon · C W Chang 3 11.0 1-3/4
5 14 YOUNG HORIZON Closed strongly CP K Teetan · B Crawford 7 7.2 2
6 12 FRANTANCK Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · P C Ng 5 31.0 2
7 10 INCREDIBLE MOMENT Led early V A Badel · M Newnham 6 7.3 3
8 5 THE HEIR C Y Ho · C Fownes 4 9.6 3
9 4 FLYING KNIGHT CP-/B1/TT D B McMonagle · W K Mo 14 47.0 3-3/4
10 8 RED BRICK WARRIOR Closed strongly XB L Ferraris · D Eustace 8 43.0 3-3/4
11 13 LUCKY MAN BO/H R Kingscote · D A Hayes 11 14.0 4
12 3 BRIGHT DAY V/TT J Orman · K L Man 12 42.0 4-1/4
13 7 RAINBOW WARRIOR Closed strongly SR-/CP1/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 9 85.0 7
14 2 SUPER LOVE TT H Bowman · C H Yip 13 20.0 7-1/2
0 KINGLY DEMEANOR TT · A S Cruz
0 KYRUS TREASURE CP/TT · D Eustace

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. REZEKI2. ENDEARED+0.05L3. CIRCUIT FIERY+0.75L4. FLYING BOOM+1.75L5. YOUNG HORIZON+2L6. FRANTANCK+2L7. INCREDIBLE MOMENT+3L8. THE HEIR+3L9. FLYING KNIGHT+3.75L10. RED BRICK WARRIOR+3.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick CIRCUIT FIERY (17.9%) finished 3rd — the winner REZEKI was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 CIRCUIT FIERY 17.9% 5.59 3
2 5 THE HEIR 11.6% 8.63 8
3 2 SUPER LOVE 10.2% 9.80 14
4 6 REZEKI 8.6% 11.63 1
5 10 INCREDIBLE MOMENT 8.6% 11.68 7
6 14 YOUNG HORIZON 8.3% 12.01 5
7 1 ENDEARED 8.0% 12.50 2
8 3 BRIGHT DAY 7.5% 13.28 12
9 13 LUCKY MAN 4.9% 20.32 11
10 9 FLYING BOOM 4.9% 20.52 4
11 4 FLYING KNIGHT 3.0% 32.93 9
12 12 FRANTANCK 3.0% 33.83 6
13 8 RED BRICK WARRIOR 2.4% 41.13 10
14 7 RAINBOW WARRIOR 1.1% 92.73 13
CIRCUIT FIERYTHE HEIRSUPER LOVEREZEKI — wonINCREDIBLE MOMENTYOUNG HORIZONENDEAREDBRIGHT DAYLUCKY MANFLYING BOOMFLYING KNIGHTFRANTANCKRED BRICK WARRIORRAINBOW WARRIOR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 117.5

PLACE

1 20.5

6 36

11 17.5

QUINELLA

1,6 372.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 124.5

1,11 64

6,11 116

FORECAST

6,1 837

TIERCE

6,1,11 4,280

TRIO

1,6,11 572

FIRST 4

1,6,9,11 1,246

QUARTET

6,1,11,9 38,035

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

3/1 115.5

3/6 1,484.5