Sha Tin · 2026-01-11 · 09:50
STANLEY GAP HANDICAP
Race 11
Race 11 ("STANLEY GAP HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-11 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. LUCKY SAM GOR, ridden by M F Poon and trained by M Newnham, won, with WITHOUT COMPARE second and BLAZING WUKONG third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite BLAZING WUKONG finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | LUCKY SAM GOR Closed strongly XB 1:22.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · M Newnham | M F Poon | M Newnham | 10 | 5.7 | — |
| 2 | 7 | WITHOUT COMPARE Closed strongly P-/TT1 H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 14 | 82.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 14 | BLAZING WUKONG TT- A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 7 | 3.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | HELENE SUPAFEELING Closed strongly H/XB/TT H Bowman · D Eustace | H Bowman | D Eustace | 8 | 5.9 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | IVY LEAGUE SR/TT R Kingscote · D J Whyte | R Kingscote | D J Whyte | 6 | 78.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | AKASHVANI Closed strongly B L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 13 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | MIGHTY STEED CP M Guyon · K W Lui | M Guyon | K W Lui | 12 | 28.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | GOLDEN EMPIRE B K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 3 | 35.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | TIN FOOK CP Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 5.1 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | CIRCUIT GRAND SLAM C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 5 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | CHEAHA TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 4 | 71.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | KING OF SELECTION B1/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 11 | 135.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 4 | MASTER OF ALL Led early B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 9 | 27.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 0 | TOURBILLON PRINCE TT · C W Chang | — | C W Chang | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SO YOU WILL TT · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| DISQ | 6 | STORMY GROVE Closed strongly H1/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 1 | 10.0 | NOSE |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HELENE SUPAFEELING | 18.4% | 5.43 | 4 |
| 2 | 9 | TIN FOOK | 17.7% | 5.64 | 9 |
| 3 | 14 | BLAZING WUKONG | 13.0% | 7.71 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | CIRCUIT GRAND SLAM | 11.6% | 8.66 | 10 |
| 5 | 13 | LUCKY SAM GOR | 8.5% | 11.73 | 1 |
| 6 | 12 | MIGHTY STEED | 7.8% | 12.82 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | AKASHVANI | 6.3% | 15.98 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 3.8% | 26.00 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | IVY LEAGUE | 3.5% | 28.49 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | MASTER OF ALL | 3.4% | 29.11 | 13 |
| 11 | 7 | WITHOUT COMPARE | 2.5% | 40.18 | 2 |
| 12 | 5 | CHEAHA | 2.5% | 40.31 | 11 |
| 13 | 11 | KING OF SELECTION | 1.0% | 100.88 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 57
PLACE
6 28.5
7 202
13 23
QUINELLA
6,13 343
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 1,345
6,13 109
7,13 866.5
FORECAST
13,6 725
TIERCE
13,6,7 38,158
TRIO
6,7,13 11,154
FIRST 4
6,7,13,14 5,410
QUARTET
13,6,7,14 152,353
All pools (4 more)
10TH DOUBLE
1/6 60
1/13 163.5
2ND TREBLE
14/1/6 1,678
14/1/13 8,500
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,10/6,7,13 385,375
SIX UP
1,5/7,9/8,13/2,14/1,2/6,13 67,831
1 [M Newnham] —
1 [Z Purton] —