Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2026-01-11 · 08:40

PAK SHA O HANDICAP

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1800m Course C+3 14 runners

Race 9 ("PAK SHA O HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-11 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MONEY CATCHER, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won, with STUNNING PEACH second and THE AUSPICIOUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite FORTUNE BOY finished 6th.

Result

Official · 1:46.42
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 14 MONEY CATCHER Closed strongly B-/CP2 1:46.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor 7 22.0
2 2 STUNNING PEACH Closed strongly CP/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz 9 10.0 N
3 10 THE AUSPICIOUS Closed strongly H M Guyon · Y S Tsui 6 8.0 3-1/4
4 12 PACKING FIGHTER TT1 L Hewitson · P C Ng 8 11.0 4
5 3 PRESTIGE GOOD Closed strongly V C L Chau · P F Yiu 13 7.1 4-1/2
6 9 FORTUNE BOY Closed strongly B Z Purton · D A Hayes 3 3.9 4-1/2
7 11 ENTHRALLED Closed strongly A Atzeni · J Size 14 14.0 4-3/4
8 4 EXCELLENCE VALUE Closed strongly CP/TT A Badel · W Y So 5 38.0 4-3/4
9 8 ROMANTIC THOR XB/TT L Ferraris · C S Shum 12 42.0 5-1/4
10 5 LIVEANDLETLIVE Led early TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 11 9.1 6-1/2
11 7 MISTER DAPPER B-/XB/V2/TT B Avdulla · D Eustace 4 6.3 7
12 13 MASTER TRILLION B K Teetan · F C Lor 1 86.0 9-1/4
13 1 JOY OF SPRING TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 2 18.0 11-1/2
14 6 MONDIAL B J Orman · M Newnham 10 65.0 17-1/2
0 FALLON B/TT · A S Cruz
0 EMBLAZON TT · W K Mo

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MONEY CATCHER2. STUNNING PEACH+0.05L3. THE AUSPICIOUS+3.25L4. PACKING FIGHTER+4L5. PRESTIGE GOOD+4.5L6. FORTUNE BOY+4.5L7. ENTHRALLED+4.75L8. EXCELLENCE VALUE+4.75L9. ROMANTIC THOR+5.25L10. LIVEANDLETLIVE+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick FORTUNE BOY (25.9%) finished 6th — the winner MONEY CATCHER was rated #10. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 FORTUNE BOY 25.9% 3.87 6
2 10 THE AUSPICIOUS 13.4% 7.48 3
3 1 JOY OF SPRING 10.6% 9.42 13
4 5 LIVEANDLETLIVE 7.9% 12.67 10
5 7 MISTER DAPPER 7.1% 14.05 11
6 3 PRESTIGE GOOD 7.0% 14.25 5
7 2 STUNNING PEACH 5.9% 16.83 2
8 4 EXCELLENCE VALUE 5.7% 17.58 8
9 11 ENTHRALLED 4.3% 23.15 7
10 14 MONEY CATCHER 3.1% 32.07 1
11 8 ROMANTIC THOR 3.0% 33.86 9
12 12 PACKING FIGHTER 2.5% 40.50 4
13 13 MASTER TRILLION 2.1% 47.57 12
14 6 MONDIAL 1.5% 64.89 14
FORTUNE BOYTHE AUSPICIOUSJOY OF SPRINGLIVEANDLETLIVEMISTER DAPPERPRESTIGE GOODSTUNNING PEACHEXCELLENCE VALUEENTHRALLEDMONEY CATCHER — wonROMANTIC THORPACKING FIGHTERMASTER TRILLIONMONDIAL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

14 222

PLACE

2 32.5

10 19

14 58.5

QUINELLA

2,14 1,528

QUINELLA PLACE

2,10 181

2,14 452.5

10,14 244.5

FORECAST

14,2 3,467

TIERCE

14,2,10 34,355

TRIO

2,10,14 3,946

FIRST 4

2,10,12,14 10,970

QUARTET

14,2,10,12 328,547

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

8,11,13/2,10,14 222,199

8TH DOUBLE

8/2 59.5

8/14 785