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Sha Tin · 2026-01-11 · 16:40

PAK SHA O HANDICAP

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1800m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1:46.42
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 14 MONEY CATCHER Closed strongly B-/CP2 1:46.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor 7 22.0 —
2 2 STUNNING PEACH Closed strongly CP/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz 9 10.0 N
3 10 THE AUSPICIOUS Closed strongly H M Guyon · Y S Tsui 6 8.0 3-1/4
4 12 PACKING FIGHTER TT1 L Hewitson · P C Ng 8 11.0 4
5 3 PRESTIGE GOOD Closed strongly V C L Chau · P F Yiu 13 7.1 4-1/2
6 9 FORTUNE BOY Closed strongly B Z Purton · D A Hayes 3 3.9 4-1/2
7 11 ENTHRALLED Closed strongly A Atzeni · J Size 14 14.0 4-3/4
8 4 EXCELLENCE VALUE Closed strongly CP/TT A Badel · W Y So 5 38.0 4-3/4
9 8 ROMANTIC THOR XB/TT L Ferraris · C S Shum 12 42.0 5-1/4
10 5 LIVEANDLETLIVE Led early TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 11 9.1 6-1/2
11 7 MISTER DAPPER B-/XB/V2/TT B Avdulla · D Eustace 4 6.3 7
12 13 MASTER TRILLION B K Teetan · F C Lor 1 86.0 9-1/4
13 1 JOY OF SPRING TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 2 18.0 11-1/2
14 6 MONDIAL B J Orman · M Newnham 10 65.0 17-1/2
— 0 FALLON B/TT · A S Cruz — — —
— 0 EMBLAZON TT · W K Mo — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 ("PAK SHA O HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-11 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MONEY CATCHER, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won, with STUNNING PEACH second and THE AUSPICIOUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite FORTUNE BOY finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MONEY CATCHER—2. STUNNING PEACH+0.05L3. THE AUSPICIOUS+3.25L4. PACKING FIGHTER+4L5. PRESTIGE GOOD+4.5L6. FORTUNE BOY+4.5L7. ENTHRALLED+4.75L8. EXCELLENCE VALUE+4.75L9. ROMANTIC THOR+5.25L10. LIVEANDLETLIVE+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick FORTUNE BOY (25.9%) finished 6th — the winner MONEY CATCHER was rated #10. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 FORTUNE BOY 25.9% 3.87 6
2 10 THE AUSPICIOUS 13.4% 7.48 3
3 1 JOY OF SPRING 10.6% 9.42 13
4 5 LIVEANDLETLIVE 7.9% 12.67 10
5 7 MISTER DAPPER 7.1% 14.05 11
6 3 PRESTIGE GOOD 7.0% 14.25 5
7 2 STUNNING PEACH 5.9% 16.83 2
8 4 EXCELLENCE VALUE 5.7% 17.58 8
9 11 ENTHRALLED 4.3% 23.15 7
10 14 MONEY CATCHER 3.1% 32.07 1
11 8 ROMANTIC THOR 3.0% 33.86 9
12 12 PACKING FIGHTER 2.5% 40.50 4
13 13 MASTER TRILLION 2.1% 47.57 12
14 6 MONDIAL 1.5% 64.89 14
FORTUNE BOYTHE AUSPICIOUSJOY OF SPRINGLIVEANDLETLIVEMISTER DAPPERPRESTIGE GOODSTUNNING PEACHEXCELLENCE VALUEENTHRALLEDMONEY CATCHER — wonROMANTIC THORPACKING FIGHTERMASTER TRILLIONMONDIAL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

14 222

PLACE

2 32.5

10 19

14 58.5

QUINELLA

2,14 1,528

QUINELLA PLACE

2,10 181

2,14 452.5

10,14 244.5

FORECAST

14,2 3,467

TIERCE

14,2,10 34,355

TRIO

2,10,14 3,946

FIRST 4

2,10,12,14 10,970

QUARTET

14,2,10,12 328,547

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

8,11,13/2,10,14 222,199

8TH DOUBLE

8/2 59.5

8/14 785