跑馬地 · 2026-01-14 · 12:05
YACHT CLUB HANDICAP
第 4場
2026-01-14跑馬地第4場「YACHT CLUB HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Ferraris策騎、M Newnham訓練的FORTUNE STAR勝出。INCANTO STAR獲得亞軍；CALIFORNIA BANNER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。5.6倍大熱門CALIFORNIA BANNER跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FORTUNE STAR 後段發力 B/TT 1:39.98 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 9 | 6.1 | — |
| 2 | 8 | INCANTO STAR 後段發力 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 9.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | CALIFORNIA BANNER 後段發力 B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 8 | 5.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | SMART CITY V-/XB1/CP2/TT- M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 1 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | GOOD LUCK WIN B/TT Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 12 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | NOBLE PURSUIT 後段發力 TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 11 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 2 | 6.2 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | NORTHERN FIRE BALL 早段領放 H/TT E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 7 | 21.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | CONSPIRACY WITNESS B- H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 5 | 6.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | HARMONY GALAXY TT R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 10 | 16.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | SHINKANSEN CP/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 9.9 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | FORERUNNER TT M Guyon · W K Mo | M Guyon | W K Mo | 6 | 18.0 | 10 |
| — | 4 | FUN TOGETHER CP/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 8 | — | — |
| — | 10 | APOLAR FIGHTER B/TT C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 7 | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | INCANTO STAR | 21.9% | 4.57 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY | 15.1% | 6.61 | 7 |
| 3 | 12 | SHINKANSEN | 10.0% | 10.00 | 11 |
| 4 | 6 | FORTUNE STAR | 8.2% | 12.14 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | NOBLE PURSUIT | 8.0% | 12.53 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | FORERUNNER | 7.8% | 12.82 | 12 |
| 7 | 11 | CONSPIRACY WITNESS | 7.6% | 13.10 | 9 |
| 8 | 9 | SMART CITY | 5.5% | 18.31 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | CALIFORNIA BANNER | 4.8% | 20.77 | 3 |
| 10 | 10 | NORTHERN FIRE BALL | 4.6% | 21.63 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | GOOD LUCK WIN | 4.5% | 22.01 | 5 |
| 12 | 1 | HARMONY GALAXY | 1.9% | 53.31 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 61
PLACE
4 20.5
6 20
8 31.5
QUINELLA
6,8 312.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 94
4,8 128
6,8 90
FORECAST
6,8 449
TIERCE
6,8,4 5,496
TRIO
4,6,8 1,088
FIRST 4
4,6,8,9 3,351
QUARTET
6,8,4,9 84,753
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
1/6 555
1/8 173.5