跑馬地 · 2026-01-14 · 13:40
THE JANUARY CUP (HANDICAP)
第 7場
2026-01-14跑馬地第7場「THE JANUARY CUP (HANDICAP)」，Group 3，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、K W Lui訓練的SPEED DRAGON勝出。HUGE WAVE獲得亞軍；HELENE FEELING獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。5.3倍大熱門HUGE WAVE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SPEED DRAGON 後段發力 B 1:48.00 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 6.4 | — |
| 2 | 10 | HUGE WAVE 後段發力 TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 4 | 5.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | HELENE FEELING 後段發力 B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 12 | 5.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | ENCOUNTERED K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 5 | 9.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | WINNING WING 後段發力 H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 6 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | HONG LOK GOLF TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 8 | 6.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | CHANCHENG GLORY B/XB M Guyon · K W Lui | M Guyon | K W Lui | 1 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | BEAUTY JOY 後段發力 TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 11 | 25.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | MOMENTS IN TIME 後段發力 TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 9 | 8.7 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | ENSUED P A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 3 | 30.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | AWESOME FLUKE P/TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 2 | 18.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | KAHOLO ANGEL 早段領放 TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 10 | 39.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HONG LOK GOLF | 18.8% | 5.33 | 6 |
| 2 | 12 | WINNING WING | 15.8% | 6.33 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | HELENE FEELING | 13.1% | 7.63 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | HUGE WAVE | 9.1% | 10.99 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | SPEED DRAGON | 8.8% | 11.35 | 1 |
| 6 | 11 | AWESOME FLUKE | 7.3% | 13.65 | 11 |
| 7 | 7 | ENCOUNTERED | 7.0% | 14.34 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | KAHOLO ANGEL | 6.3% | 15.93 | 12 |
| 9 | 3 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 5.6% | 17.77 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 2.9% | 34.58 | 7 |
| 11 | 1 | BEAUTY JOY | 2.8% | 35.70 | 8 |
| 12 | 5 | ENSUED | 2.5% | 39.53 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 64.5
PLACE
4 20
8 23.5
10 20
QUINELLA
8,10 166.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 74
4,10 55
8,10 60.5
FORECAST
8,10 332
TIERCE
8,10,4 2,172
TRIO
4,8,10 323
FIRST 4
4,7,8,10 866
QUARTET
8,10,4,7 16,613
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
8,9,11/4,8,10 11,496
6TH DOUBLE
11/8 363
11/10 85.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,6,9/8,9,11/4,8,10 477,247
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,6,9/8,9,11/Any Combination 845