跑馬地 · 2026-01-14 · 14:50
SAINT TROPEZ HANDICAP
第 9場
2026-01-14跑馬地第9場「SAINT TROPEZ HANDICAP」，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、C Fownes訓練的MIGHTY COMMANDER勝出。PERFECTDAY獲得亞軍；CALIFORNIA BLITZ獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門SPORTS LEGEND跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | MIGHTY COMMANDER TT 1:09.44 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 9 | 7.4 | — |
| 2 | 6 | PERFECTDAY Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 5 | 4.8 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | CALIFORNIA BLITZ B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 3 | 7.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | FRIENDS OF SHAJING CP/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 4 | 5.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | SPORTS LEGEND B/TT Y L Chung · D Eustace | Y L Chung | D Eustace | 1 | 3.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | SYMBOL OF STRENGTH L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 8 | 40.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | POWER KOEPP H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 11 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | KING MILES B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 26.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | WONDER KIT V L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 10 | 53.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | SUGAR SUGAR V/TT D Probert · C Fownes | D Probert | C Fownes | 6 | 29.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 8 | ALWAYS AHEAD TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 2 | 58.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | RYUI KOKOROE H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 7 | 73.0 | 5-1/4 |
| — | 0 | ROMANTIC LAOS CP/TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | PERFECTDAY | 26.1% | 3.83 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | SPORTS LEGEND | 16.9% | 5.93 | 5 |
| 3 | 12 | CALIFORNIA BLITZ | 15.2% | 6.56 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | FRIENDS OF SHAJING | 9.9% | 10.07 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | SYMBOL OF STRENGTH | 6.4% | 15.62 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | KING MILES | 6.2% | 16.23 | 8 |
| 7 | 4 | POWER KOEPP | 5.5% | 18.35 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | SUGAR SUGAR | 4.2% | 23.65 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | MIGHTY COMMANDER | 4.0% | 25.19 | 1 |
| 10 | 1 | WONDER KIT | 2.4% | 41.95 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | ALWAYS AHEAD | 1.7% | 59.00 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | RYUI KOKOROE | 1.6% | 64.23 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 74
PLACE
6 19
11 23.5
12 21.5
QUINELLA
6,11 238
QUINELLA PLACE
6,11 77
6,12 58
11,12 79
FORECAST
11,6 436
TIERCE
11,6,12 2,734
TRIO
6,11,12 418
FIRST 4
6,9,11,12 381
QUARTET
11,6,12,9 13,975
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
8/2/6 203
8/2/11 2,746
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,11/6,11,12 17,249
8TH DOUBLE
2/6 29.5
2/11 522
SIX UP
6/6/11/8/2/11 62,075
6,8/3,6/8,11/8,10/2,11/6,11 1,121
1 [M Newnham] —
1 [Z Purton] —