跑馬地 · 2026-01-14 · 12:35
THE APM MONACO CUP (HANDICAP)
第 5場
2026-01-14跑馬地第5場「THE APM MONACO CUP (HANDICAP)」，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、M Newnham訓練的MAX QUE勝出。SILVERY BREEZE獲得亞軍；THRIVING BROTHERS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以1.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MAX QUE 後段發力 TT 1:40.57 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 3 | 1.7 | — |
| 2 | 3 | SILVERY BREEZE 後段發力 CP/TT H Bowman · D Eustace | H Bowman | D Eustace | 12 | 4.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | THRIVING BROTHERS 早段領放 TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 11 | 38.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS 後段發力 TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 8 | 36.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | THE BOOM BOX 後段發力 C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 5 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | SAMARKAND CP/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 1 | 20.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | CHILL KAKA M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 4 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | AESTHETICISM 後段發力 B- K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 6 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | KEEFY K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 30.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO B A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 7 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | ANODE TT D B McMonagle · C S Shum | D B McMonagle | C S Shum | 10 | 25.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | RISING FROM ASHES B/XB H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 2 | 46.0 | 10-3/4 |
| — | 0 | JUMBO LEGEND B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | FLYING FORTRESS XB/TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MAX QUE | 38.1% | 2.62 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | SILVERY BREEZE | 15.1% | 6.62 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | THE BOOM BOX | 7.2% | 13.93 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | THRIVING BROTHERS | 7.0% | 14.29 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | CHILL KAKA | 6.8% | 14.65 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 6.8% | 14.65 | 10 |
| 7 | 8 | SAMARKAND | 5.9% | 16.95 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | KEEFY | 3.0% | 33.56 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS | 2.9% | 34.29 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | AESTHETICISM | 2.8% | 35.20 | 8 |
| 11 | 5 | ANODE | 2.7% | 36.95 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | RISING FROM ASHES | 1.6% | 63.74 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 17.5
PLACE
3 14.5
6 11.5
9 74
QUINELLA
3,6 39.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 21
3,9 139.5
6,9 85.5
FORECAST
6,3 70
TIERCE
6,3,9 821
TRIO
3,6,9 313
FIRST 4
3,6,7,9 2,165
QUARTET
6,3,9,7 19,199
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
1/6/3 480
1/6/6 1,160
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,8/3,6,9 31,428
4TH DOUBLE
6/3 91
6/6 97