Happy Valley · 2026-01-14 · 20:35
THE APM MONACO CUP (HANDICAP)
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MAX QUE Closed strongly TT 1:40.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 3 | 1.7 | — |
| 2 | 3 | SILVERY BREEZE Closed strongly CP/TT H Bowman · D Eustace | H Bowman | D Eustace | 12 | 4.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | THRIVING BROTHERS Led early TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 11 | 38.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS Closed strongly TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 8 | 36.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | THE BOOM BOX Closed strongly C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 5 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | SAMARKAND CP/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 1 | 20.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | CHILL KAKA M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 4 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | AESTHETICISM Closed strongly B- K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 6 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | KEEFY K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 30.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO B A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 7 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | ANODE TT D B McMonagle · C S Shum | D B McMonagle | C S Shum | 10 | 25.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | RISING FROM ASHES B/XB H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 2 | 46.0 | 10-3/4 |
| — | 0 | JUMBO LEGEND B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | FLYING FORTRESS XB/TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 ("THE APM MONACO CUP (HANDICAP)") at Happy Valley on 2026-01-14 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. MAX QUE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by M Newnham, won, with SILVERY BREEZE second and THRIVING BROTHERS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MAX QUE | 38.1% | 2.62 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | SILVERY BREEZE | 15.1% | 6.62 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | THE BOOM BOX | 7.2% | 13.93 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | THRIVING BROTHERS | 7.0% | 14.29 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | CHILL KAKA | 6.8% | 14.65 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 6.8% | 14.65 | 10 |
| 7 | 8 | SAMARKAND | 5.9% | 16.95 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | KEEFY | 3.0% | 33.56 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS | 2.9% | 34.29 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | AESTHETICISM | 2.8% | 35.20 | 8 |
| 11 | 5 | ANODE | 2.7% | 36.95 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | RISING FROM ASHES | 1.6% | 63.74 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 17.5
PLACE
3 14.5
6 11.5
9 74
QUINELLA
3,6 39.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 21
3,9 139.5
6,9 85.5
FORECAST
6,3 70
TIERCE
6,3,9 821
TRIO
3,6,9 313
FIRST 4
3,6,7,9 2,165
QUARTET
6,3,9,7 19,199
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
1/6/3 480
1/6/6 1,160
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,8/3,6,9 31,428
4TH DOUBLE
6/3 91
6/6 97