Happy Valley · 2026-01-14 · 10:35
METEORITES HANDICAP
Race 1
Race 1 ("METEORITES HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-01-14 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BLAZING BEAM, ridden by R Kingscote and trained by K H Ting, won, with CONCORDE STAR second and HAPPY BOYS third. The 4.1 favourite LUCKY GENERATIONS finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BLAZING BEAM B/TT 1:09.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 5 | 41.0 | — |
| 2 | 6 | CONCORDE STAR TT J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 12 | 12.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | HAPPY BOYS XB Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 9 | 6.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE B/TT B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 1 | 4.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | BRILLIANT FIRE B/XB/TT A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 4 | 29.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | NEBRASKAN B/TT D B McMonagle · J Size | D B McMonagle | J Size | 11 | 5.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | LUCKY GENERATIONS H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 3 | 4.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | PODIUM B/TT C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 7 | 8.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | CHILL MASTER B/TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 2 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | EVER SMART TT H T Mo · F C Lor | H T Mo | F C Lor | 10 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | MULTIDUTCH B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 31.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | COLONEL V-/B2/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 8 | 29.0 | 20 |
| — | 0 | SONIC BOOM V/TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | WOODFIRE CHAMP V-/CP2/TT2 · C W Chang | — | C W Chang | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE | 20.5% | 4.87 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | HAPPY BOYS | 18.1% | 5.54 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | LUCKY GENERATIONS | 12.2% | 8.16 | 7 |
| 4 | 5 | PODIUM | 10.8% | 9.25 | 8 |
| 5 | 6 | CONCORDE STAR | 8.7% | 11.50 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | NEBRASKAN | 7.3% | 13.64 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | EVER SMART | 6.2% | 16.11 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | CHILL MASTER | 5.7% | 17.44 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | BRILLIANT FIRE | 3.4% | 29.84 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | BLAZING BEAM | 2.5% | 39.37 | 1 |
| 11 | 2 | MULTIDUTCH | 2.5% | 40.50 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | COLONEL | 2.0% | 49.64 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 419
PLACE
3 106
4 23.5
6 37.5
QUINELLA
3,6 3,495
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 515.5
3,6 856.5
4,6 137
FORECAST
3,6 6,719
TIERCE
3,6,4 34,297
TRIO
3,4,6 4,552
FIRST 4
3,4,6,8 7,131
QUARTET
3,6,4,8 297,528