Happy Valley · 2026-01-14 · 13:05
MONACO HANDICAP
Race 6
Race 6 ("MONACO HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-01-14 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. WINNING MONEY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won, with DAN ATTACK second and GREAT SPIRIT third. The 3.8 favourite DAN ATTACK finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | WINNING MONEY H/XB 1:09.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 12 | 4.4 | — |
| 2 | 8 | DAN ATTACK XB H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 8 | 3.8 | N |
| 3 | 9 | GREAT SPIRIT CP A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 7 | 8.4 | N |
| 4 | 10 | SAME TO YOU H/P/TT A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 10 | 33.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | SKY CAP B1/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 9 | 20.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | REWARDING BUDDY K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 5.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | FREE PONY P J Orman · C W Chang | J Orman | C W Chang | 5 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | PACKING KING L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 1 | 7.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | THOUSAND CUPS TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 40.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | LEATHER GOODS B/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 4 | 23.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 5 | SKY PHOENIX K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 2 | 39.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | AWESOME TREASURE TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 20.0 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 0 | FORTUNE WHISKEY B/TT · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | WIN METHOD B/TT · C S Shum | — | C S Shum | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | WINNING MONEY | 22.1% | 4.53 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | PACKING KING | 13.8% | 7.27 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | REWARDING BUDDY | 12.1% | 8.25 | 6 |
| 4 | 8 | DAN ATTACK | 11.4% | 8.77 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | GREAT SPIRIT | 8.1% | 12.28 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | AWESOME TREASURE | 7.1% | 13.99 | 12 |
| 7 | 1 | FREE PONY | 6.0% | 16.72 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | SAME TO YOU | 5.4% | 18.50 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | LEATHER GOODS | 4.8% | 20.72 | 10 |
| 10 | 2 | SKY CAP | 4.0% | 24.86 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | THOUSAND CUPS | 3.9% | 25.70 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | SKY PHOENIX | 1.2% | 80.46 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 44
PLACE
8 15.5
9 24
11 18.5
QUINELLA
8,11 73.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 52
8,11 36
9,11 60.5
FORECAST
11,8 194
TIERCE
11,8,9 1,211
TRIO
8,9,11 271
FIRST 4
8,9,10,11 915
QUARTET
11,8,9,10 13,321
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
6/8 15.5
6/11 117