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Happy Valley · 2026-01-14 · 21:40

THE JANUARY CUP (HANDICAP)

Race 7

Group 3 GOOD 1800m Course B 12 runners

Result

Official · 1:48.00
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 SPEED DRAGON Closed strongly B 1:48.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · K W Lui 7 6.4 —
2 10 HUGE WAVE Closed strongly TT A Badel · K H Ting 4 5.3 1/2
3 4 HELENE FEELING Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum 12 5.3 1-1/4
4 7 ENCOUNTERED K Teetan · B Crawford 5 9.1 1-1/2
5 12 WINNING WING Closed strongly H T Mo · K W Lui 6 11.0 2
6 6 HONG LOK GOLF TT H Bentley · W Y So 8 6.2 2-3/4
7 2 CHANCHENG GLORY B/XB M Guyon · K W Lui 1 17.0 2-3/4
8 1 BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 11 25.0 4-1/2
9 3 MOMENTS IN TIME Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C S Shum 9 8.7 5-3/4
10 5 ENSUED P A Atzeni · J Size 3 30.0 6
11 11 AWESOME FLUKE P/TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu 2 18.0 6-3/4
12 9 KAHOLO ANGEL Led early TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 10 39.0 10-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 ("THE JANUARY CUP (HANDICAP)") at Happy Valley on 2026-01-14 was Group 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. SPEED DRAGON, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by K W Lui, won, with HUGE WAVE second and HELENE FEELING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.3 favourite HUGE WAVE finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SPEED DRAGON—2. HUGE WAVE+0.5L3. HELENE FEELING+1.25L4. ENCOUNTERED+1.5L5. WINNING WING+2L6. HONG LOK GOLF+2.75L7. CHANCHENG GLORY+2.75L8. BEAUTY JOY+4.5L9. MOMENTS IN TIME+5.75L10. ENSUED+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick HONG LOK GOLF (18.8%) finished 6th — the winner SPEED DRAGON was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 HONG LOK GOLF 18.8% 5.33 6
2 12 WINNING WING 15.8% 6.33 5
3 4 HELENE FEELING 13.1% 7.63 3
4 10 HUGE WAVE 9.1% 10.99 2
5 8 SPEED DRAGON 8.8% 11.35 1
6 11 AWESOME FLUKE 7.3% 13.65 11
7 7 ENCOUNTERED 7.0% 14.34 4
8 9 KAHOLO ANGEL 6.3% 15.93 12
9 3 MOMENTS IN TIME 5.6% 17.77 9
10 2 CHANCHENG GLORY 2.9% 34.58 7
11 1 BEAUTY JOY 2.8% 35.70 8
12 5 ENSUED 2.5% 39.53 10
HONG LOK GOLFWINNING WINGHELENE FEELINGHUGE WAVESPEED DRAGON — wonAWESOME FLUKEENCOUNTEREDKAHOLO ANGELMOMENTS IN TIMECHANCHENG GLORYBEAUTY JOYENSUED

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 64.5

PLACE

4 20

8 23.5

10 20

QUINELLA

8,10 166.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,8 74

4,10 55

8,10 60.5

FORECAST

8,10 332

TIERCE

8,10,4 2,172

TRIO

4,8,10 323

FIRST 4

4,7,8,10 866

QUARTET

8,10,4,7 16,613

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

8,9,11/4,8,10 11,496

6TH DOUBLE

11/8 363

11/10 85.5

TRIPLE TRIO

3,6,9/8,9,11/4,8,10 477,247

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

3,6,9/8,9,11/Any Combination 845