Happy Valley · 2026-01-14 · 13:40
THE JANUARY CUP (HANDICAP)
Race 7
Race 7 ("THE JANUARY CUP (HANDICAP)") at Happy Valley on 2026-01-14 was Group 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. SPEED DRAGON, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by K W Lui, won, with HUGE WAVE second and HELENE FEELING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.3 favourite HUGE WAVE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SPEED DRAGON Closed strongly B 1:48.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 6.4 | — |
| 2 | 10 | HUGE WAVE Closed strongly TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 4 | 5.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | HELENE FEELING Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 12 | 5.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | ENCOUNTERED K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 5 | 9.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | WINNING WING Closed strongly H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 6 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | HONG LOK GOLF TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 8 | 6.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | CHANCHENG GLORY B/XB M Guyon · K W Lui | M Guyon | K W Lui | 1 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 11 | 25.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | MOMENTS IN TIME Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 9 | 8.7 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | ENSUED P A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 3 | 30.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | AWESOME FLUKE P/TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 2 | 18.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | KAHOLO ANGEL Led early TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 10 | 39.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HONG LOK GOLF | 18.8% | 5.33 | 6 |
| 2 | 12 | WINNING WING | 15.8% | 6.33 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | HELENE FEELING | 13.1% | 7.63 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | HUGE WAVE | 9.1% | 10.99 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | SPEED DRAGON | 8.8% | 11.35 | 1 |
| 6 | 11 | AWESOME FLUKE | 7.3% | 13.65 | 11 |
| 7 | 7 | ENCOUNTERED | 7.0% | 14.34 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | KAHOLO ANGEL | 6.3% | 15.93 | 12 |
| 9 | 3 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 5.6% | 17.77 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 2.9% | 34.58 | 7 |
| 11 | 1 | BEAUTY JOY | 2.8% | 35.70 | 8 |
| 12 | 5 | ENSUED | 2.5% | 39.53 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 64.5
PLACE
4 20
8 23.5
10 20
QUINELLA
8,10 166.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 74
4,10 55
8,10 60.5
FORECAST
8,10 332
TIERCE
8,10,4 2,172
TRIO
4,8,10 323
FIRST 4
4,7,8,10 866
QUARTET
8,10,4,7 16,613
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
8,9,11/4,8,10 11,496
6TH DOUBLE
11/8 363
11/10 85.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,6,9/8,9,11/4,8,10 477,247
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,6,9/8,9,11/Any Combination 845