Happy Valley · 2026-01-14 · 14:15
CANNES HANDICAP
Race 8
Race 8 ("CANNES HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-01-14 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. STORM RIDER, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D A Hayes, won, with REGAL GEM second and BRAVE STAR third. The 3.8 favourite GUSTOSISIMO finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | STORM RIDER 1:09.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 1 | 4.2 | — |
| 2 | 11 | REGAL GEM H- K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 5.4 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | BRAVE STAR XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 23.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | GUSTOSISIMO TT M Guyon · A S Cruz | M Guyon | A S Cruz | 2 | 3.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 7 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | SON PAK FU B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 9 | 21.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | CRIMSON FLASH B A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 12 | 5.5 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS V-/SR/H2/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 10 | 27.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | SUPERB CAPITALIST TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 26.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | MAGIC CONTROL TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 6 | 16.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 11 | 53.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | PACKING BOLE CP/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 4 | 45.0 | 22-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | STORM RIDER | 21.2% | 4.72 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | CRIMSON FLASH | 14.4% | 6.93 | 7 |
| 3 | 11 | REGAL GEM | 13.9% | 7.20 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | GUSTOSISIMO | 11.3% | 8.87 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE | 7.2% | 13.87 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | MAGIC CONTROL | 7.1% | 14.08 | 10 |
| 7 | 5 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS | 5.5% | 18.22 | 8 |
| 8 | 6 | BRAVE STAR | 5.3% | 18.92 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | PACKING BOLE | 4.7% | 21.11 | 12 |
| 10 | 3 | SON PAK FU | 3.7% | 27.35 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 3.3% | 30.45 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 2.5% | 40.77 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 42
PLACE
2 17
6 64
11 17.5
QUINELLA
2,11 135
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 170.5
2,11 47
6,11 184
FORECAST
2,11 254
TIERCE
2,11,6 3,130
TRIO
2,6,11 333
FIRST 4
2,6,11,12 591
QUARTET
2,11,6,12 14,635
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
8/2 288.5
8/11 47.5