Happy Valley · 2026-01-14 · 11:35
CROISETTE HANDICAP
Race 3
Race 3 ("CROISETTE HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-01-14 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. LUCKY PLANET, ridden by M F Poon and trained by W K Mo, won, with BITS SUPERSTAR second and CALL TO COMMAND third. The 2.8 favourite NEVER SETTLE finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LUCKY PLANET B/TT 1:09.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 6 | 9.6 | — |
| 2 | 5 | BITS SUPERSTAR Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 10 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | CALL TO COMMAND H/CP1/TT M Guyon · C W Chang | M Guyon | C W Chang | 8 | 29.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | GIANT BALLON CP/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | GOOD LUCK HAPPY TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 4.1 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | WINNING CIGAR CP H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 2 | 37.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | THE ALL ROUNDER B K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 9 | 55.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | NEVER SETTLE TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 2.8 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | WINNING NOW B/TT1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 15.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | SONIC PURSUIT XB/BO2/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 4 | 6.7 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | FALCON HUNTER TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 12 | 29.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | THE PROMISE TT H T Mo · W Y So | H T Mo | W Y So | 5 | 73.0 | 14-1/2 |
| — | 0 | MASTER OF HUMOR CP1/TT- · B Crawford | — | B Crawford | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | NIGHT PUROSANGUE CP · Y S Tsui | — | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GOOD LUCK HAPPY | 20.0% | 5.00 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | NEVER SETTLE | 18.7% | 5.35 | 8 |
| 3 | 5 | BITS SUPERSTAR | 15.7% | 6.38 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | SONIC PURSUIT | 8.7% | 11.45 | 10 |
| 5 | 1 | LUCKY PLANET | 7.5% | 13.25 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | WINNING NOW | 7.1% | 14.02 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | GIANT BALLON | 6.4% | 15.74 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | CALL TO COMMAND | 5.7% | 17.53 | 3 |
| 9 | 6 | FALCON HUNTER | 5.2% | 19.20 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | WINNING CIGAR | 2.3% | 43.67 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | THE ALL ROUNDER | 1.6% | 61.56 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | THE PROMISE | 1.0% | 96.91 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 96
PLACE
1 29.5
5 35
11 59.5
QUINELLA
1,5 506
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 137.5
1,11 382.5
5,11 419.5
FORECAST
1,5 875
TIERCE
1,5,11 17,992
TRIO
1,5,11 4,092
FIRST 4
1,4,5,11 5,013
QUARTET
1,5,11,4 102,102
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,10/1,5,11 478,847
2ND DOUBLE
1/1 305
1/5 161.5