Happy Valley · 2026-01-14 · 11:05
YUMMY HANDICAP
Race 2
Race 2 ("YUMMY HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-01-14 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. FORTUNATE SON, ridden by H Bowman and trained by W K Mo, won, with INNO SUPER second and SETANTA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FORTUNATE SON Closed strongly TT 1:40.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · W K Mo | H Bowman | W K Mo | 7 | 4.4 | — |
| 2 | 8 | INNO SUPER Closed strongly SR/TT C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 9 | 8.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | SETANTA Closed strongly B/TT A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 4 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | PING HAI COMET H B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 1 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | ABSOLUTE AWAKENED H/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 11 | 6.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | ALL ROUND WINNER CP H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 6 | 5.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | SURE JOYFUL Closed strongly TT M Guyon · P F Yiu | M Guyon | P F Yiu | 12 | 26.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | LUCKY BLESSING Led early CP1/TT Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 3 | 6.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | PRINCE ALEX CP/XB/TT R Kingscote · D J Whyte | R Kingscote | D J Whyte | 2 | 22.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | SOMELOVEFROMABOVE PC M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 5 | 24.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 30.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | TURIN WARRIOR XB C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 10 | 23.0 | 5-3/4 |
| — | 0 | NEVER PETER OUT V/TT · F C Lor | — | F C Lor | — | — | — |
| — | 4 | CALIFORNIA BANNER Closed strongly B/TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ABSOLUTE AWAKENED | 20.0% | 5.00 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | ALL ROUND WINNER | 11.4% | 8.74 | 6 |
| 3 | 10 | SETANTA | 10.8% | 9.24 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | FORTUNATE SON | 10.6% | 9.43 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | PING HAI COMET | 9.2% | 10.86 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | TURIN WARRIOR | 8.9% | 11.23 | 12 |
| 7 | 12 | LUCKY BLESSING | 7.3% | 13.72 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | INNO SUPER | 6.8% | 14.75 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 4.9% | 20.39 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | SOMELOVEFROMABOVE | 4.2% | 23.99 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | PRINCE ALEX | 3.0% | 32.81 | 9 |
| 12 | 3 | SURE JOYFUL | 2.8% | 35.29 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 44
PLACE
1 18.5
8 28.5
10 26
QUINELLA
1,8 225.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 80
1,10 67
8,10 143.5
FORECAST
1,8 441
TIERCE
1,8,10 3,107
TRIO
1,8,10 671
FIRST 4
1,6,8,10 1,786
QUARTET
1,8,10,6 29,824
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/1 3,324
3/8 892