沙田 · 2026-02-01 · 07:30
LONG VALLEY HANDICAP
第 7場
2026-02-01沙田第7場「LONG VALLEY HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由D B McMonagle策騎、P F Yiu訓練的BLAZING WUKONG勝出。ROBOT STAR獲得亞軍；DASHING MAURISON獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.8倍大熱門THE GOLDEN KNIGHT跑獲第6名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BLAZING WUKONG 後段發力 1:34.32 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） D B McMonagle · P F Yiu | D B McMonagle | P F Yiu | 12 | 8.5 | — |
| 2 | 2 | ROBOT STAR 後段發力 CP Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 9 | 6.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 13 | DASHING MAURISON 後段發力 CP M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 14 | 145.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | ACE CP/TT M Guyon · J Richards | M Guyon | J Richards | 10 | 62.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | THE LION KING J Orman · F C Lor | J Orman | F C Lor | 13 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | THE GOLDEN KNIGHT 後段發力 XB H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 8 | 2.8 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | AMAZING AWARD B/TT C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 5 | 65.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | GLORIASTAR B- L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 6.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | SMART FAT CAT CP/H/TT J McDonald · W K Mo | J McDonald | W K Mo | 7 | 5.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | FORTUNE KINGO H- R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 3 | 35.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 14 | YOUNG HORIZON CP K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 6 | 32.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | FRANTANCK 後段發力 TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 1 | 23.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 11 | SPLENDID FORCE B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 2 | 177.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 6 | PING HAI COMET 早段領放 H A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 11 | 25.0 | 11-1/2 |
| — | 0 | KINGLY DEMEANOR TT · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | FIGHT TIME V · D J Hall | — | D J Hall | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | THE GOLDEN KNIGHT | 25.6% | 3.90 | 6 |
| 2 | 7 | SMART FAT CAT | 25.1% | 3.98 | 9 |
| 3 | 2 | ROBOT STAR | 9.6% | 10.42 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | BLAZING WUKONG | 8.6% | 11.59 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | GLORIASTAR | 6.2% | 16.11 | 8 |
| 6 | 14 | YOUNG HORIZON | 4.2% | 23.99 | 11 |
| 7 | 6 | PING HAI COMET | 4.1% | 24.18 | 14 |
| 8 | 10 | FRANTANCK | 2.9% | 34.91 | 12 |
| 9 | 5 | AMAZING AWARD | 2.9% | 34.94 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | THE LION KING | 2.8% | 35.34 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | ACE | 2.8% | 35.34 | 4 |
| 12 | 9 | FORTUNE KINGO | 2.4% | 42.39 | 10 |
| 13 | 13 | DASHING MAURISON | 1.8% | 54.41 | 3 |
| 14 | 11 | SPLENDID FORCE | 0.9% | 106.86 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 85
PLACE
1 26.5
2 20
13 285.5
QUINELLA
1,2 367
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 113
1,13 2,035.5
2,13 1,521.5
FORECAST
1,2 550
TIERCE
1,2,13 50,723
TRIO
1,2,13 20,779
FIRST 4
1,2,12,13 69,636
QUARTET
1,2,13,12 622,275
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,7/1,2,13 945,383
6TH DOUBLE
4/1 2,339.5
4/2 419.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,11,12/4,5,7/Any Combination 1,624