沙田 · 2026-02-01 · 09:15
KAT O HANDICAP
第 10場
2026-02-01沙田第10場「KAT O HANDICAP」，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、M Newnham訓練的LUCKY SAM GOR勝出。SERAPH GABRIEL獲得亞軍；NATURAL NUMBERS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.5倍大熱門SERAPH GABRIEL跑獲第2名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | LUCKY SAM GOR 後段發力 XB 1:33.82 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · M Newnham | C L Chau | M Newnham | 10 | 5.4 | — |
| 2 | 4 | SERAPH GABRIEL 後段發力 XB1/TT J McDonald · D Eustace | J McDonald | D Eustace | 7 | 4.5 | N |
| 3 | 5 | NATURAL NUMBERS 後段發力 B M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 9 | 153.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | ENDUED 後段發力 E/TT A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 14 | 5.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | THE BOOM BOX 後段發力 D B McMonagle · W Y So | D B McMonagle | W Y So | 11 | 27.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | THE RED HARE 後段發力 H/P/TT M Guyon · F C Lor | M Guyon | F C Lor | 13 | 7.3 | 3 |
| 7 | 14 | MIGHTY STEED CP M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 12 | 31.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | TOURBILLON PRINCE CP/TT R Kingscote · C W Chang | R Kingscote | C W Chang | 5 | 47.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | CALIFORNIA WAVES B/XB/TT A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 1 | 6.3 | 5 |
| 10 | 13 | ARIEL 早段領放 B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 3 | 58.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | WROTE A NEW PAGE TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 8 | 13.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 12 | LIGHTNESS OF BEING CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 149.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 3 | BEAUTY CRESCENT B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 4 | 14.0 | 12-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 16.6% | 6.01 | 14 |
| 2 | 9 | THE RED HARE | 14.1% | 7.10 | 6 |
| 3 | 11 | ENDUED | 10.5% | 9.51 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | WROTE A NEW PAGE | 9.7% | 10.29 | 11 |
| 5 | 8 | LUCKY SAM GOR | 9.2% | 10.83 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT | 8.5% | 11.73 | 12 |
| 7 | 10 | CALIFORNIA WAVES | 7.3% | 13.67 | 9 |
| 8 | 4 | SERAPH GABRIEL | 7.2% | 13.81 | 2 |
| 9 | 1 | THE BOOM BOX | 4.5% | 21.99 | 5 |
| 10 | 14 | MIGHTY STEED | 3.6% | 28.14 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 3.2% | 31.15 | 8 |
| 12 | 13 | ARIEL | 2.3% | 42.68 | 10 |
| 13 | 12 | LIGHTNESS OF BEING | 2.0% | 50.74 | 13 |
| 14 | 5 | NATURAL NUMBERS | 1.1% | 89.53 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 54.5
PLACE
4 20.5
5 363
8 20
QUINELLA
4,8 173.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 1,253.5
4,8 68
5,8 1,811
FORECAST
8,4 360
TIERCE
8,4,5 43,917
TRIO
4,5,8 8,344
FIRST 4
4,5,8,11 12,984
QUARTET
8,4,5,11 335,079
全部彩池（另 1 項）
9TH DOUBLE
8/4 77
8/8 600