沙田 · 2026-02-01 · 09:50
YAN CHAU TONG HANDICAP
第 11場
2026-02-01沙田第11場「YAN CHAU TONG HANDICAP」，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Guyon策騎、J Size訓練的SUPER EXPRESS勝出。SIX PACK獲得亞軍；SUNNY DA BEST獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SUPER EXPRESS 後段發力 TT 1:21.27 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Guyon · J Size | M Guyon | J Size | 9 | 2.2 | — |
| 2 | 2 | SIX PACK 後段發力 B L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 1 | 4.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | SUNNY DA BEST 後段發力 TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 8 | 44.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | WITHOUT COMPARE 後段發力 TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 3 | 9.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | EVERYONE'S STAR 後段發力 H C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 6 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | RIDING TOGETHER 早段領放 V2/TT L Hewitson · D Eustace | L Hewitson | D Eustace | 10 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 1 | MID WINTER WIND 後段發力 H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 13 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | THRIVING BROTHERS TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 7 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | POWER OF VITAM 後段發力 A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 11 | 40.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 14 | BUCEPHALAS XB/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 14 | 31.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | FLUORESCENCE TT1 Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 4 | 151.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | DARYL FLASH M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 12 | 55.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 9 | LEAPING STAR M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 2 | 191.0 | 11 |
| 14 | 7 | SO YOU WILL TT D Probert · C Fownes | D Probert | C Fownes | 5 | 129.0 | 11-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SILVERY BREEZE CP/TT · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | IVY LEAGUE SR/TT · D J Whyte | — | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SUPER EXPRESS | 34.6% | 2.89 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | SIX PACK | 13.3% | 7.52 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | EVERYONE'S STAR | 10.9% | 9.14 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | MID WINTER WIND | 8.2% | 12.21 | 7 |
| 5 | 10 | THRIVING BROTHERS | 7.7% | 13.04 | 8 |
| 6 | 12 | WITHOUT COMPARE | 6.1% | 16.34 | 4 |
| 7 | 14 | BUCEPHALAS | 4.2% | 23.73 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | RIDING TOGETHER | 3.7% | 27.20 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | POWER OF VITAM | 3.1% | 32.05 | 9 |
| 10 | 13 | FLUORESCENCE | 2.4% | 42.33 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | SUNNY DA BEST | 2.1% | 48.15 | 3 |
| 12 | 4 | DARYL FLASH | 1.6% | 62.10 | 12 |
| 13 | 7 | SO YOU WILL | 1.1% | 91.36 | 14 |
| 14 | 9 | LEAPING STAR | 1.0% | 97.44 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 22
PLACE
2 18
6 12.5
8 84.5
QUINELLA
2,6 51.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 26.5
2,8 235.5
6,8 139
FORECAST
6,2 91
TIERCE
6,2,8 1,513
TRIO
2,6,8 519
FIRST 4
2,6,8,12 1,338
QUARTET
6,2,8,12 12,914
全部彩池（另 4 項）
10TH DOUBLE
8/2 61
8/6 143.5
2ND TREBLE
8/8/2 476
8/8/6 1,433
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,8/2,6,8 575,845
SIX UP
4/1/2/8/8/6 2,729,046
4,5/1,2/2,6/8,11/4,8/2,6 13,771
14 [Others] —
1 [J Size] —