沙田 · 2026-02-01 · 05:00
KIU TSUI HANDICAP
第 2場
2026-02-01沙田第2場「KIU TSUI HANDICAP」，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、D J Hall訓練的SHOTGUN勝出。ALWAYS FLUKE獲得亞軍；REWARDING TWINKLE獲得季軍。4.2倍大熱門ONLY U跑獲第4名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SHOTGUN B/XB 1:09.34 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 10.0 | — |
| 2 | 1 | ALWAYS FLUKE H2/TT1 M Guyon · W Y So | M Guyon | W Y So | 1 | 25.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | REWARDING TWINKLE SR/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 3 | 5.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | ONLY U B/XB K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 2 | 4.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | GENERAL SMART CP/XB/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 6 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | COME FAST FAY FAY SR/TT R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 13 | 29.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | CIRCUIT VICTORY B2/TT E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 12 | 27.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | I P O BROS B H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 8 | 5.9 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | MAJESTIC DELIGHT XB/TT C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 14 | 5.8 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | SHINE BRIGHT B A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 7 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 14 | SUPER ELITE B-/SR1/CP2/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 5 | 64.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | GANGNAM STAR TT H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 10 | 48.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 12 | VIVA CHALEUR B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 14.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 10 | WOODFIRE CHAMP V-/CP2/TT2 L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 11 | 117.0 | 17-3/4 |
| — | 0 | NOBLE DELUXE H/P/TT · J Size | — | J Size | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | HAPPY BOYS XB · M Newnham | — | M Newnham | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ONLY U | 20.4% | 4.91 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | I P O BROS | 17.3% | 5.78 | 8 |
| 3 | 4 | REWARDING TWINKLE | 12.0% | 8.32 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | GENERAL SMART | 9.7% | 10.35 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | MAJESTIC DELIGHT | 7.0% | 14.31 | 9 |
| 6 | 12 | VIVA CHALEUR | 6.4% | 15.70 | 13 |
| 7 | 11 | SHINE BRIGHT | 5.2% | 19.06 | 10 |
| 8 | 9 | SHOTGUN | 4.5% | 22.15 | 1 |
| 9 | 2 | COME FAST FAY FAY | 3.8% | 26.09 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | CIRCUIT VICTORY | 3.5% | 28.31 | 7 |
| 11 | 1 | ALWAYS FLUKE | 3.2% | 30.93 | 2 |
| 12 | 13 | GANGNAM STAR | 3.2% | 31.03 | 12 |
| 13 | 10 | WOODFIRE CHAMP | 2.1% | 48.44 | 14 |
| 14 | 14 | SUPER ELITE | 1.6% | 60.75 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 107.5
PLACE
1 70.5
4 19.5
9 33.5
QUINELLA
1,9 1,072
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 238
1,9 324.5
4,9 100
FORECAST
9,1 1,871
TIERCE
9,1,4 13,277
TRIO
1,4,9 2,093
FIRST 4
1,4,7,9 2,050
QUARTET
9,1,4,7 60,429
全部彩池（另 1 項）
1ST DOUBLE
8/1 892.5
8/9 3,420.5