沙田 · 2026-02-01 · 08:05
THE HONG KONG CLASSIC MILE
第 8場
2026-02-01沙田第8場「THE HONG KONG CLASSIC MILE」,4YO,途程1600米,跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、K H Ting訓練的LITTLE PARADISE勝出。INFINITE RESOLVE獲得亞軍;BEAUTY BOLT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.2倍大熱門INVINCIBLE IBIS跑獲第6名。
場地詳情及賽日變動(1)
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LITTLE PARADISE 後段發力 TT 1:33.31 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 6 | 5.4 | — |
| 2 | 6 | INFINITE RESOLVE 後段發力 A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 3 | 20.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | BEAUTY BOLT TT J McDonald · A S Cruz | J McDonald | A S Cruz | 12 | 7.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | SAGACIOUS LIFE 後段發力 TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 13 | 5.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | TOP DRAGON 後段發力 TT M Guyon · W Y So | M Guyon | W Y So | 2 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | INVINCIBLE IBIS 後段發力 CP H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 11 | 3.2 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | CIRCUIT GRAND SLAM 後段發力 TT1 C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 10 | 164.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | AKASHVANI B L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 4 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | PATCH OF COSMO 後段發力 B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 9 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 8 | PUBLIC ATTENTION B2 B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 1 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | CRIMSON FLASH B-/CP1 A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 7 | 61.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 14 | WINDLORD H-/CP2/TT D B McMonagle · W K Mo | D B McMonagle | W K Mo | 14 | 71.0 | 10 |
| 13 | 9 | WINFIELD 早段領放 H-/XB L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 8 | 149.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 14 | 13 | SHANWAH B-/CP1 H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 5 | 52.0 | 19-3/4 |
| — | 0 | POPE CODY TT · Y S Tsui | — | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
| — | 4 | DARYL FLASH · Y S Tsui | — | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | INVINCIBLE IBIS | 25.5% | 3.93 | 6 |
| 2 | 1 | SAGACIOUS LIFE | 18.5% | 5.42 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | LITTLE PARADISE | 15.5% | 6.46 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | BEAUTY BOLT | 9.7% | 10.35 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | PUBLIC ATTENTION | 6.5% | 15.50 | 10 |
| 6 | 11 | TOP DRAGON | 4.7% | 21.50 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | PATCH OF COSMO | 4.0% | 24.85 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | INFINITE RESOLVE | 3.4% | 29.29 | 2 |
| 9 | 10 | AKASHVANI | 2.9% | 34.81 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | CRIMSON FLASH | 2.7% | 36.41 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | CIRCUIT GRAND SLAM | 2.0% | 50.42 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | WINFIELD | 2.0% | 51.00 | 13 |
| 13 | 14 | WINDLORD | 1.9% | 52.12 | 12 |
| 14 | 13 | SHANWAH | 0.9% | 108.50 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 54
PLACE
2 19
4 24.5
6 50
QUINELLA
2,6 479
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 79.5
2,6 133.5
4,6 198
FORECAST
2,6 883
TIERCE
2,6,4 6,374
TRIO
2,4,6 1,361
FIRST 4
1,2,4,6 1,249
QUARTET
2,6,4,1 36,525
全部彩池(另 1 項)
7TH DOUBLE
1/2 391.5
1/6 225