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Sha Tin · 2026-02-01 · 08:05

THE HONG KONG CLASSIC MILE

Race 8

4YO GOOD 1600m Course B+2 14 runners

Race 8 ("THE HONG KONG CLASSIC MILE") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-01 was 4YO over 1600m, run on GOOD going. LITTLE PARADISE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K H Ting, won, with INFINITE RESOLVE second and BEAUTY BOLT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite INVINCIBLE IBIS finished 6th.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 #12 CIRCUIT GRAND SLAM — Jockey Change

Result

Official · 1:33.31
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 LITTLE PARADISE Closed strongly TT 1:33.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K H Ting 6 5.4
2 6 INFINITE RESOLVE Closed strongly A Badel · M Newnham 3 20.0 2
3 4 BEAUTY BOLT TT J McDonald · A S Cruz 12 7.8 2-1/2
4 1 SAGACIOUS LIFE Closed strongly TT Z Purton · P C Ng 13 5.5 2-3/4
5 11 TOP DRAGON Closed strongly TT M Guyon · W Y So 2 11.0 3-1/4
6 3 INVINCIBLE IBIS Closed strongly CP H Bowman · M Newnham 11 3.2 4
7 12 CIRCUIT GRAND SLAM Closed strongly TT1 C L Chau · K L Man 10 164.0 4
8 10 AKASHVANI B L Ferraris · D A Hayes 4 15.0 4
9 7 PATCH OF COSMO Closed strongly B M Chadwick · K L Man 9 13.0 5
10 8 PUBLIC ATTENTION B2 B Avdulla · D A Hayes 1 14.0 6
11 5 CRIMSON FLASH B-/CP1 A Atzeni · M Newnham 7 61.0 7-1/2
12 14 WINDLORD H-/CP2/TT D B McMonagle · W K Mo 14 71.0 10
13 9 WINFIELD Led early H-/XB L Hewitson · M Newnham 8 149.0 14-3/4
14 13 SHANWAH B-/CP1 H Bentley · D J Whyte 5 52.0 19-3/4
0 POPE CODY TT · Y S Tsui
4 DARYL FLASH · Y S Tsui

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LITTLE PARADISE2. INFINITE RESOLVE+2L3. BEAUTY BOLT+2.5L4. SAGACIOUS LIFE+2.75L5. TOP DRAGON+3.25L6. INVINCIBLE IBIS+4L7. CIRCUIT GRAND SLAM+4L8. AKASHVANI+4L9. PATCH OF COSMO+5L10. PUBLIC ATTENTION+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick INVINCIBLE IBIS (25.5%) finished 6th — the winner LITTLE PARADISE was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 INVINCIBLE IBIS 25.5% 3.93 6
2 1 SAGACIOUS LIFE 18.5% 5.42 4
3 2 LITTLE PARADISE 15.5% 6.46 1
4 4 BEAUTY BOLT 9.7% 10.35 3
5 8 PUBLIC ATTENTION 6.5% 15.50 10
6 11 TOP DRAGON 4.7% 21.50 5
7 7 PATCH OF COSMO 4.0% 24.85 9
8 6 INFINITE RESOLVE 3.4% 29.29 2
9 10 AKASHVANI 2.9% 34.81 8
10 5 CRIMSON FLASH 2.7% 36.41 11
11 12 CIRCUIT GRAND SLAM 2.0% 50.42 7
12 9 WINFIELD 2.0% 51.00 13
13 14 WINDLORD 1.9% 52.12 12
14 13 SHANWAH 0.9% 108.50 14
INVINCIBLE IBISSAGACIOUS LIFELITTLE PARADISE — wonBEAUTY BOLTPUBLIC ATTENTIONTOP DRAGONPATCH OF COSMOINFINITE RESOLVEAKASHVANICRIMSON FLASHCIRCUIT GRAND SLAMWINFIELDWINDLORDSHANWAH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 54

PLACE

2 19

4 24.5

6 50

QUINELLA

2,6 479

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 79.5

2,6 133.5

4,6 198

FORECAST

2,6 883

TIERCE

2,6,4 6,374

TRIO

2,4,6 1,361

FIRST 4

1,2,4,6 1,249

QUARTET

2,6,4,1 36,525

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

1/2 391.5

1/6 225