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Sha Tin · 2026-02-01 · 09:50

YAN CHAU TONG HANDICAP

Race 11

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course B+2 14 runners

Race 11 ("YAN CHAU TONG HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-01 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SUPER EXPRESS, ridden by M Guyon and trained by J Size, won, with SIX PACK second and SUNNY DA BEST third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 #13 FLUORESCENCE — Jockey Change

Result

Official · 1:21.27
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 SUPER EXPRESS Closed strongly TT 1:21.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Guyon · J Size 9 2.2
2 2 SIX PACK Closed strongly B L Ferraris · D J Whyte 1 4.6 3/4
3 8 SUNNY DA BEST Closed strongly TT H Bentley · W Y So 8 44.0 1
4 12 WITHOUT COMPARE Closed strongly TT H T Mo · C S Shum 3 9.2 1-1/2
5 3 EVERYONE'S STAR Closed strongly H C Y Ho · F C Lor 6 10.0 2
6 5 RIDING TOGETHER Led early V2/TT L Hewitson · D Eustace 10 18.0 2
7 1 MID WINTER WIND Closed strongly H Bowman · M Newnham 13 13.0 2-1/2
8 10 THRIVING BROTHERS TT A Badel · C H Yip 7 10.0 3-3/4
9 11 POWER OF VITAM Closed strongly A Atzeni · D J Hall 11 40.0 4
10 14 BUCEPHALAS XB/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 14 31.0 5-1/4
11 13 FLUORESCENCE TT1 Y L Chung · K L Man 4 151.0 5-1/2
12 4 DARYL FLASH M F Poon · Y S Tsui 12 55.0 8-3/4
13 9 LEAPING STAR M L Yeung · D A Hayes 2 191.0 11
14 7 SO YOU WILL TT D Probert · C Fownes 5 129.0 11-1/2
0 SILVERY BREEZE CP/TT · D Eustace
0 IVY LEAGUE SR/TT · D J Whyte

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER EXPRESS2. SIX PACK+0.75L3. SUNNY DA BEST+1L4. WITHOUT COMPARE+1.5L5. EVERYONE'S STAR+2L6. RIDING TOGETHER+2L7. MID WINTER WIND+2.5L8. THRIVING BROTHERS+3.75L9. POWER OF VITAM+4L10. BUCEPHALAS+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SUPER EXPRESS (34.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 SUPER EXPRESS 34.6% 2.89 1
2 2 SIX PACK 13.3% 7.52 2
3 3 EVERYONE'S STAR 10.9% 9.14 5
4 1 MID WINTER WIND 8.2% 12.21 7
5 10 THRIVING BROTHERS 7.7% 13.04 8
6 12 WITHOUT COMPARE 6.1% 16.34 4
7 14 BUCEPHALAS 4.2% 23.73 10
8 5 RIDING TOGETHER 3.7% 27.20 6
9 11 POWER OF VITAM 3.1% 32.05 9
10 13 FLUORESCENCE 2.4% 42.33 11
11 8 SUNNY DA BEST 2.1% 48.15 3
12 4 DARYL FLASH 1.6% 62.10 12
13 7 SO YOU WILL 1.1% 91.36 14
14 9 LEAPING STAR 1.0% 97.44 13
SUPER EXPRESS — wonSIX PACKEVERYONE'S STARMID WINTER WINDTHRIVING BROTHERSWITHOUT COMPAREBUCEPHALASRIDING TOGETHERPOWER OF VITAMFLUORESCENCESUNNY DA BESTDARYL FLASHSO YOU WILLLEAPING STAR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 22

PLACE

2 18

6 12.5

8 84.5

QUINELLA

2,6 51.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,6 26.5

2,8 235.5

6,8 139

FORECAST

6,2 91

TIERCE

6,2,8 1,513

TRIO

2,6,8 519

FIRST 4

2,6,8,12 1,338

QUARTET

6,2,8,12 12,914

All pools (4 more)

10TH DOUBLE

8/2 61

8/6 143.5

2ND TREBLE

8/8/2 476

8/8/6 1,433

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

4,5,8/2,6,8 575,845

SIX UP

4/1/2/8/8/6 2,729,046

4,5/1,2/2,6/8,11/4,8/2,6 13,771

14 [Others]

1 [J Size]