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Sha Tin · 2026-02-01 · 06:30

LAM TSUEN HANDICAP

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course B+2 14 runners

Race 5 ("LAM TSUEN HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-01 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY SHOOTER, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by C S Shum, won, with PRESTIGE HALL second and SMART GOLF third. The 1.8 favourite SMART GOLF finished 3rd.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 #8 HONORARY — Jockey Change

Result

Official · 1:09.29
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 HAPPY SHOOTER TT 1:09.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · C S Shum 1 9.5
2 11 PRESTIGE HALL H Bowman · D J Hall 11 12.0 3/4
3 1 SMART GOLF TT H Bentley · F C Lor 12 1.8 3/4
4 3 CLOUD NINE XB L Ferraris · M Newnham 9 8.6 3/4
5 13 DECISION LINK TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 3 5.2 2-3/4
6 9 KIAMA E1/P1 D B McMonagle · J Size 6 28.0 3-3/4
7 4 FOREST KING TT A Badel · C H Yip 5 120.0 4-1/4
8 2 JOY CAPITAL J Orman · W Y So 14 54.0 4-1/4
9 14 KA YING WARRIOR XB/CP2 M F Poon · B Crawford 7 17.0 4-1/4
10 8 HONORARY CP/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 10 152.0 4-1/2
11 7 ADORABLE SMILE XB1/TT M Guyon · D Eustace 4 60.0 5
12 6 MY TRIUMPH H B Avdulla · D A Hayes 13 81.0 5-1/4
13 5 IMPRESSIVE CHAMP TT1 R Kingscote · P F Yiu 2 92.0 7-1/4
14 10 MAGIC SUPER C L Chau · K L Man 8 253.0 9-1/2
0 CAP LINER CP-/TT · J Richards
0 CALL ME SPARKLE TT1 · K W Lui

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HAPPY SHOOTER2. PRESTIGE HALL+0.75L3. SMART GOLF+0.75L4. CLOUD NINE+0.75L5. DECISION LINK+2.75L6. KIAMA+3.75L7. FOREST KING+4.25L8. JOY CAPITAL+4.25L9. KA YING WARRIOR+4.25L10. HONORARY+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SMART GOLF (31.6%) finished 3rd — the winner HAPPY SHOOTER was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 SMART GOLF 31.6% 3.16 3
2 13 DECISION LINK 13.7% 7.31 5
3 12 HAPPY SHOOTER 11.7% 8.53 1
4 11 PRESTIGE HALL 10.0% 10.01 2
5 3 CLOUD NINE 9.8% 10.19 4
6 14 KA YING WARRIOR 4.8% 20.69 9
7 9 KIAMA 3.8% 26.07 6
8 2 JOY CAPITAL 2.8% 35.46 8
9 7 ADORABLE SMILE 2.6% 38.21 11
10 5 IMPRESSIVE CHAMP 2.2% 44.86 13
11 4 FOREST KING 2.1% 47.22 7
12 8 HONORARY 2.1% 48.25 10
13 6 MY TRIUMPH 1.3% 75.09 12
14 10 MAGIC SUPER 1.3% 77.56 14
SMART GOLFDECISION LINKHAPPY SHOOTER — wonPRESTIGE HALLCLOUD NINEKA YING WARRIORKIAMAJOY CAPITALADORABLE SMILEIMPRESSIVE CHAMPFOREST KINGHONORARYMY TRIUMPHMAGIC SUPER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 95

PLACE

1 12.5

11 27

12 22

QUINELLA

11,12 412.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,11 40.5

1,12 35

11,12 104.5

FORECAST

12,11 1,020

TIERCE

12,11,1 2,452

TRIO

1,11,12 192

FIRST 4

1,3,11,12 223

QUARTET

12,11,1,3 13,967

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

1/6/11 96

1/6/12 403

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

6,9,11/1,11,12 7,455

4TH DOUBLE

6/11 34

6/12 237.5