Sha Tin · 2026-02-01 · 16:40
ROBIN'S NEST HANDICAP
Race 9
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | RISING PHOENIX Closed strongly B 1:21.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 4 | 8.3 | — |
| 2 | 11 | CIRCUIT FIERY Closed strongly PC/TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 1 | 7.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | NYX GLUCK Closed strongly SR1 J McDonald · W K Mo | J McDonald | W K Mo | 6 | 4.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | THOUSAND SPIRIT Led early L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 3 | 8.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | HAPPY BOSS Closed strongly CP/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 7 | 7.4 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | FLYING BOOM Closed strongly TT1 M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 14 | 36.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | RAGING RAPIDS Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 12 | 28.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | BRIGHT DAY Closed strongly V/TT D B McMonagle · K L Man | D B McMonagle | K L Man | 13 | 98.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 13 | WINNING DATA V M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 2 | 21.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | HAPPY ALLIANCE TT A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 5 | 221.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | STAR SATYR TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 8 | 3.8 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | GIDDY UP TT M Guyon · J Richards | M Guyon | J Richards | 9 | 36.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 13 | 1 | LUNAR DASH CP- K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 10 | 16.0 | 16-1/2 |
| 14 | 9 | CIRCUIT HAPPY H M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 167.0 | 22-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SOMELOVEFROMABOVE PC · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | GLORIOUS RYDER B/TT · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 ("ROBIN'S NEST HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-01 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. RISING PHOENIX, ridden by J Orman and trained by D J Hall, won, with CIRCUIT FIERY second and NYX GLUCK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite STAR SATYR finished 11th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | NYX GLUCK | 18.1% | 5.54 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | CIRCUIT FIERY | 15.9% | 6.30 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | STAR SATYR | 14.3% | 6.98 | 11 |
| 4 | 6 | THOUSAND SPIRIT | 9.7% | 10.31 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | HAPPY BOSS | 7.9% | 12.74 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | LUNAR DASH | 6.4% | 15.68 | 13 |
| 7 | 13 | WINNING DATA | 5.5% | 18.13 | 9 |
| 8 | 7 | RAGING RAPIDS | 5.5% | 18.14 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | RISING PHOENIX | 4.6% | 21.79 | 1 |
| 10 | 12 | GIDDY UP | 4.2% | 23.91 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | FLYING BOOM | 3.6% | 27.40 | 6 |
| 12 | 5 | BRIGHT DAY | 2.3% | 42.82 | 8 |
| 13 | 14 | HAPPY ALLIANCE | 1.1% | 94.89 | 10 |
| 14 | 9 | CIRCUIT HAPPY | 1.0% | 101.26 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 83.5
PLACE
3 19
8 27
11 22
QUINELLA
8,11 273
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 65
3,11 61.5
8,11 88
FORECAST
8,11 618
TIERCE
8,11,3 2,929
TRIO
3,8,11 471
FIRST 4
3,6,8,11 581
QUARTET
8,11,3,6 15,402
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,6/3,8,11 57,921
8TH DOUBLE
2/8 675
2/11 112.5