Sha Tin · 2026-02-01 · 06:00
LAM TSUEN HANDICAP
Race 4
Race 4 ("LAM TSUEN HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-01 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. CROSSBORDERDUDE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won, with CHILL PARTNERS second and BROWNNEEDSFURTHER third. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CROSSBORDERDUDE B 1:09.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 2.6 | — |
| 2 | 9 | CHILL PARTNERS CP1 C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 9 | 14.0 | N |
| 3 | 11 | BROWNNEEDSFURTHER TT J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 3 | 7.4 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 13 | VIVA FIRECRACKER TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 12 | 21.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | CALL ME SUCCESS XB1 A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 2 | 8.9 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | WARRIORS DREAM H/XB K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 6 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | CHATER FLASH CP L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 14 | 130.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | MABUBU TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 7 | 6.7 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | RUN RUN SMART TT E C W Wong · F C Lor | E C W Wong | F C Lor | 11 | 8.8 | 3 |
| 10 | 14 | AUTUMN VIBES H/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 13 | 35.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | DASHING PEACH CP1 B Avdulla · C W Chang | B Avdulla | C W Chang | 5 | 42.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 8 | MERLION XB1/TT1 H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 1 | 27.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 12 | LUCKY FIELD B/TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 8 | 159.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 14 | 2 | LUCKY XANDER B D B McMonagle · P F Yiu | D B McMonagle | P F Yiu | 4 | 84.0 | 6-1/2 |
| — | 0 | BLASTED TALENT TT · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | CONRAD PATCH TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CROSSBORDERDUDE | 29.8% | 3.36 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | MABUBU | 22.4% | 4.46 | 8 |
| 3 | 10 | WARRIORS DREAM | 8.5% | 11.83 | 6 |
| 4 | 11 | BROWNNEEDSFURTHER | 7.0% | 14.25 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | MERLION | 5.8% | 17.32 | 12 |
| 6 | 3 | RUN RUN SMART | 5.5% | 18.22 | 9 |
| 7 | 9 | CHILL PARTNERS | 5.2% | 19.36 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | DASHING PEACH | 3.5% | 28.51 | 11 |
| 9 | 13 | VIVA FIRECRACKER | 3.5% | 28.61 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | CALL ME SUCCESS | 3.4% | 29.07 | 5 |
| 11 | 14 | AUTUMN VIBES | 2.0% | 50.36 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | CHATER FLASH | 1.3% | 76.86 | 7 |
| 13 | 2 | LUCKY XANDER | 1.2% | 82.19 | 14 |
| 14 | 12 | LUCKY FIELD | 1.0% | 103.94 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 26.5
PLACE
6 15.5
9 41.5
11 22
QUINELLA
6,9 204.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 80.5
6,11 46.5
9,11 155
FORECAST
6,9 334
TIERCE
6,9,11 1,826
TRIO
6,9,11 470
FIRST 4
6,9,11,13 2,087
QUARTET
6,9,11,13 22,554
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
1/6 46
1/9 49.5