沙田 · 2026-02-01 · 04:30
CLEAR WATER BAY HANDICAP
第 1場
2026-02-01沙田第1場「CLEAR WATER BAY HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由D B McMonagle策騎、J Size訓練的MASTER LUCKY勝出。POET'S REIGN獲得亞軍；SILVER SPURS獲得季軍。1.5倍大熱門BUSTLING CITY跑獲第9名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | MASTER LUCKY 0:57.36 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） D B McMonagle · J Size | D B McMonagle | J Size | 7 | 35.0 | — |
| 2 | 9 | POET'S REIGN TT1 J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 6 | 71.0 | N |
| 3 | 10 | SILVER SPURS TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 10 | 23.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | LAHORE V/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 1 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 14 | CIRRUS SPEED M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 77.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | LEADING DRAGON K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 12 | 5.1 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | COMET RADIANCE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 28.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 13 | CONSPIRATOR L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | 14 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | BUSTLING CITY Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 8 | 1.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | GREEN FIELD PEARL TT1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 102.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | BEST FARM C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 13 | 127.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | SPICY BONUS H1/SR1/TT1 M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 9 | 114.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 13 | 1 | ALSONSO B- H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 4 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 14 | 5 | FORTUNE GOLDSADDLE TT1 H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 3 | 116.0 | 4-3/4 |
| — | 0 | EVERYONE'S GALLOP V/TT · F C Lor | — | F C Lor | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | GIANT BALLON CP/TT · D J Whyte | — | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BUSTLING CITY | 33.6% | 2.97 | 9 |
| 2 | 1 | ALSONSO | 10.5% | 9.54 | 13 |
| 3 | 10 | SILVER SPURS | 8.9% | 11.22 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | LAHORE | 6.0% | 16.62 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | COMET RADIANCE | 5.7% | 17.66 | 7 |
| 6 | 13 | CONSPIRATOR | 5.4% | 18.37 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | LEADING DRAGON | 5.2% | 19.35 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | GREEN FIELD PEARL | 4.9% | 20.56 | 10 |
| 9 | 8 | MASTER LUCKY | 3.8% | 26.24 | 1 |
| 10 | 11 | SPICY BONUS | 3.3% | 30.02 | 12 |
| 11 | 14 | CIRRUS SPEED | 3.3% | 30.58 | 5 |
| 12 | 9 | POET'S REIGN | 3.2% | 31.39 | 2 |
| 13 | 2 | BEST FARM | 3.1% | 31.91 | 11 |
| 14 | 5 | FORTUNE GOLDSADDLE | 3.1% | 32.29 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 354
PLACE
8 63.5
9 117
10 45
QUINELLA
8,9 2,981
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 750.5
8,10 631.5
9,10 1,106
FORECAST
8,9 5,782
TIERCE
8,9,10 100,875
TRIO
8,9,10 18,692
FIRST 4
8,9,10,12 29,704
QUARTET
8,9,10,12 603,988