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Sha Tin · 2019-09-21

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.54
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 FUN TIMES Closed strongly B 1.21.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A T Millard 8 11.0 1-1/4
2 0 RELENTLESS ME XB1/B2 J Moreira · D J Whyte 4 3.1 1-1/4
3 0 MR MAGELLAN Closed strongly G van Niekerk · Y S Tsui 2 4.3 2-1/2
4 0 VILLA FIONN Closed strongly B M Chadwick · P F Yiu 14 20.0 2-3/4
5 0 SEVENTY SEVENTY Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall 9 6.5 3-1/2
6 0 LOTUS BREEZE Closed strongly B/XB/TT C Schofield · W Y So 11 11.0 3-3/4
7 0 GOLDEN FOUR Closed strongly B U Rispoli · C W Chang 3 17.0 4
8 0 SHOUSON B N Callan · J Moore 5 14.0 8
9 0 FORTUNATE RUNNER Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 13 12.0 8-1/4
10 0 AMAZING CHOCOLATE Closed strongly B/H A Sanna · R Gibson 6 50.0 9
11 0 PHENOMENAL Led early B/H/TT H N Wong · K H Ting 7 306.0 10-1/2
12 0 PARTY EVERYDAY TT1 K C Leung · A S Cruz 10 28.0 11-1/2
13 0 SUPERB AGILITY Closed strongly H H T Mo · L Ho 12 207.0 14
14 0 LUCKY WINDRIDER R Bayliss · C Fownes 1 82.0 26

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2019-09-21 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FUN TIMES, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A T Millard, won by 1-1/4, with RELENTLESS ME second and MR MAGELLAN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite RELENTLESS ME finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FUN TIMES—2. RELENTLESS ME+1.25L3. MR MAGELLAN+2.5L4. VILLA FIONN+2.75L5. SEVENTY SEVENTY+3.5L6. LOTUS BREEZE+3.75L7. GOLDEN FOUR+4L8. SHOUSON+8L9. FORTUNATE RUNNER+8.25L10. AMAZING CHOCOLATE+9L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick RELENTLESS ME (22.5%) finished 2nd — the winner FUN TIMES was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 RELENTLESS ME 22.5% 4.45 2
2 0 MR MAGELLAN 10.4% 9.57 3
3 0 SEVENTY SEVENTY 10.3% 9.75 5
4 0 FUN TIMES 9.9% 10.11 1
5 0 FORTUNATE RUNNER 9.5% 10.49 9
6 0 SHOUSON 8.2% 12.24 8
7 0 GOLDEN FOUR 6.9% 14.42 7
8 0 VILLA FIONN 5.8% 17.26 4
9 0 LOTUS BREEZE 5.7% 17.45 6
10 0 PARTY EVERYDAY 3.0% 33.30 12
11 0 LUCKY WINDRIDER 2.8% 35.19 14
12 0 AMAZING CHOCOLATE 2.7% 36.95 10
13 0 SUPERB AGILITY 1.7% 60.46 13
14 0 PHENOMENAL 0.6% 175.57 11
RELENTLESS MEMR MAGELLANSEVENTY SEVENTYFUN TIMES — wonFORTUNATE RUNNERSHOUSONGOLDEN FOURVILLA FIONNLOTUS BREEZEPARTY EVERYDAYLUCKY WINDRIDERAMAZING CHOCOLATESUPERB AGILITYPHENOMENAL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 111

PLACE

7 15.5

13 31

14 15.5

QUINELLA

7,13 156.5

QUINELLA PLACE

7,13 59

7,14 35

13,14 80.5

TIERCE

13,7,14 1,689

TRIO

7,13,14 198

FIRST 4

7,9,13,14 572

QUARTET

13,7,14,9 20,594

2ND DOUBLE

2/7 24

2/13 562.5

All pools (1 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 —

A3 26

← Race 2 Race 4 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1400m Need this as data? Full results archive — US$299 All results since 1977 as data