Sha Tin · 2019-09-21
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KING OF HEARTS Closed strongly B/TT 1.21.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 6 | 12.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly T H So · Y S Tsui | T H So | Y S Tsui | 7 | 25.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | CHARIZARD Closed strongly TT U Rispoli · D E Ferraris | U Rispoli | D E Ferraris | 4 | 8.8 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | MY DARLING Led early M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 12 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 3.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY ENERGY Closed strongly B/TT G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 13 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | DEFINING MOMENT Closed strongly B R Bayliss · C Fownes | R Bayliss | C Fownes | 10 | 40.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | STAR MAJESTIC B N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 32.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | FENRIR H/TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 11 | 34.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | FLYING VICTORY H/TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 14 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | JOLLY CONVERGENCE Closed strongly CP- K C Leung · R Gibson | K C Leung | R Gibson | 8 | 193.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | CORDYCEPS B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 3.6 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | MARZOUQ P H N Wong · J Size | H N Wong | J Size | 3 | 94.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | PRECIOUSSHIP V-/XB1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 9.3 | 9-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2019-09-21 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. KING OF HEARTS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with GREAT TREASURE second and CHARIZARD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite REGENCY BO BO finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FLYING VICTORY | 18.6% | 5.37 | 10 |
| 2 | 0 | CORDYCEPS | 17.7% | 5.64 | 12 |
| 3 | 0 | REGENCY BO BO | 11.9% | 8.40 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | DEFINING MOMENT | 8.6% | 11.66 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY ENERGY | 7.8% | 12.78 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | CHARIZARD | 7.5% | 13.36 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | KING OF HEARTS | 6.5% | 15.30 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | MARZOUQ | 6.1% | 16.36 | 13 |
| 9 | 0 | PRECIOUSSHIP | 4.1% | 24.46 | 14 |
| 10 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE | 3.1% | 32.49 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | MY DARLING | 2.9% | 34.00 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | FENRIR | 2.1% | 46.76 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | STAR MAJESTIC | 2.0% | 51.00 | 8 |
| 14 | 0 | JOLLY CONVERGENCE | 1.0% | 99.85 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 127.5
PLACE
4 47.5
5 25.5
14 51.5
QUINELLA
4,14 1,803.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 171
4,14 483
5,14 199
TIERCE
4,14,5 24,566
TRIO
4,5,14 3,102
FIRST 4
3,4,5,14 7,966
QUARTET
4,14,5,3 236,662
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 21.5
A1 —
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,9/4,5,14 60,795
9TH DOUBLE
4/4 523.5
4/14 163
SIX UP
2,12/7,12/5,7/2,13/4,9/4,14 127,423
4 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
2/4/4 3,448
2/4/14 2,053