Sha Tin · 2019-09-21
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EMERALD SPUR Closed strongly CP/TT 1.21.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) G van Niekerk · P F Yiu | G van Niekerk | P F Yiu | 1 | 7.3 | N |
| 2 | 0 | FALCON TURBO Closed strongly B1 C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 4 | 3.7 | N |
| 3 | 0 | STARSHIP Closed strongly B Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 7.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | PEARL CHAMPION Closed strongly B K H Chan · A T Millard | K H Chan | A T Millard | 8 | 9.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GODSPEED Closed strongly B T H So · D J Hall | T H So | D J Hall | 12 | 89.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BLASTOISE Closed strongly N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 10 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 14 | 6.8 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | GINTOKI Led early B1 M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 13 | 30.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | SOLAR BILLION Closed strongly B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 9 | 77.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | CENTRAL EXPRESS Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 9.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | MASTER ROMAN M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 11 | 174.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | CASIMIRO A Sanna · C H Yip | A Sanna | C H Yip | 7 | 16.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | VOYAGE KING V-/B2/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 2 | 15.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | SMILING SUCCESS TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 5 | 29.0 | 14-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2019-09-21 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. EMERALD SPUR, ridden by G van Niekerk and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with FALCON TURBO second and STARSHIP third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite FALCON TURBO finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CENTRAL EXPRESS | 21.7% | 4.61 | 10 |
| 2 | 0 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR | 13.8% | 7.25 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | STARSHIP | 10.2% | 9.80 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | PEARL CHAMPION | 10.1% | 9.89 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | VOYAGE KING | 9.2% | 10.92 | 13 |
| 6 | 0 | EMERALD SPUR | 8.0% | 12.52 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | FALCON TURBO | 7.5% | 13.40 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | BLASTOISE | 3.7% | 26.92 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | SMILING SUCCESS | 3.5% | 28.70 | 14 |
| 10 | 0 | SOLAR BILLION | 3.1% | 32.51 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | GINTOKI | 3.0% | 33.58 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | GODSPEED | 2.9% | 34.56 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | CASIMIRO | 2.5% | 39.32 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | MASTER ROMAN | 0.9% | 107.66 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 73
PLACE
1 24.5
2 14
12 31
QUINELLA
2,12 196
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 60
1,12 116
2,12 84
TIERCE
12,2,1 3,745
TRIO
1,2,12 564
FIRST 4
1,2,6,12 947
QUARTET
12,2,1,6 21,460
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 25.5
All pools (1 more)
4TH DOUBLE
5/2 135
5/12 2,657