Sha Tin · 2019-09-21
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WINNER SUPREME 1.08.78 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 4 | 3.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | UTOPIA LIFE B C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 5 | 5.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | TRIUMPHANT ARCH B Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 7 | 5.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | MOMENTUM GALAXY H/P K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 3 | 84.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | SHIMMER AND SHINE B-/TT M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 1 | 6.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SIMPLY BIG XB K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 8 | 5.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | MR GENUINE B C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 10 | 25.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | INFINITY ENDEAVOUR P/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 15.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | HARBOUR ALERT B-/CP2 H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 9 | 33.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GOLDIE FLANKER T H So · P O'Sullivan | T H So | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 34.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | STARLIGHT P2 H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 2 | 64.0 | 15 |
| 12 | 0 | HOLY HEART M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 6 | 33.0 | 16 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2019-09-21 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. WINNER SUPREME, ridden by K Teetan and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 2-3/4, with UTOPIA LIFE second and TRIUMPHANT ARCH third. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WINNER SUPREME | 21.1% | 4.73 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | TRIUMPHANT ARCH | 16.9% | 5.92 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | SHIMMER AND SHINE | 14.5% | 6.91 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | INFINITY ENDEAVOUR | 8.5% | 11.82 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | SIMPLY BIG | 8.2% | 12.25 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | UTOPIA LIFE | 8.0% | 12.44 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | MR GENUINE | 7.7% | 12.95 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | HOLY HEART | 4.3% | 23.19 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | GOLDIE FLANKER | 3.5% | 28.75 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | HARBOUR ALERT | 3.2% | 31.32 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | STARLIGHT | 2.8% | 35.45 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 1.3% | 76.67 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 34.5
PLACE
4 14.5
8 20.5
9 17.5
QUINELLA
4,9 88.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 44.5
4,9 34.5
8,9 54.5
TIERCE
4,9,8 780
TRIO
4,8,9 155
FIRST 4
4,7,8,9 1,700
QUARTET
4,9,8,7 27,392
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 21.5
A3 —
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
2/4 528
2/9 147.5