Sha Tin · 2019-09-21
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KING OPIE Closed strongly V 1.35.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 2 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT Led early CP/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 7 | 4.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | STAR PERFORMANCE Closed strongly H1/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 8 | 3.4 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | HARMONY VICTORY Closed strongly SR/TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 5 | 3.1 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | JOYFUL TRINITY C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MONGOLIAN KING Closed strongly U Rispoli · Y S Tsui | U Rispoli | Y S Tsui | 6 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | CLASSIC BEAUTY B M Chadwick · J Moore | M Chadwick | J Moore | 1 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | NOBLE STEED M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 9 | 20.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | GORGEOUS KING B- A Sanna · P O'Sullivan | A Sanna | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 107.0 | 5-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2019-09-21 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. KING OPIE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with BEAUTY SPIRIT second and STAR PERFORMANCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite HARMONY VICTORY finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CLASSIC BEAUTY | 24.3% | 4.12 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 21.6% | 4.63 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | HARMONY VICTORY | 18.8% | 5.33 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | KING OPIE | 12.1% | 8.26 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 8.1% | 12.28 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | NOBLE STEED | 5.9% | 16.88 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | JOYFUL TRINITY | 4.1% | 24.12 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | MONGOLIAN KING | 3.4% | 29.84 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | GORGEOUS KING | 1.7% | 59.01 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 112.5
PLACE
5 24
7 13.5
9 18
QUINELLA
5,7 206
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 58.5
5,9 64
7,9 38.5
TIERCE
5,7,9 1,959
TRIO
5,7,9 249
FIRST 4
1,5,7,9 94
QUARTET
5,7,9,1 4,209
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,12/5,7,9 306,097
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 46
6TH DOUBLE
12/5 1,171.5
12/7 139