Sha Tin · 2019-10-01
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY GENERATION Closed strongly B/TT 1.20.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 3 | 1.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | KA YING STAR Led early CP/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 9 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | WAIKUKU Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 5.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SOUTHERN LEGEND Closed strongly V A Sanna · C Fownes | A Sanna | C Fownes | 6 | 48.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | FURORE B G van Niekerk · F C Lor | G van Niekerk | F C Lor | 1 | 5.9 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | NOTHINGILIKEMORE B M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 2 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | CITRON SPIRIT Closed strongly H/XB M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 10 | 65.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | DOCTOR GEOFF H L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 8 | 53.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | WINNER'S WAY CP/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 7 | 128.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | DRAGON GENERAL B/TT T H So · Y S Tsui | T H So | Y S Tsui | 4 | 177.0 | 10-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2019-10-01 was Group 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BEAUTY GENERATION, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Moore, won by 1-1/4, with KA YING STAR second and WAIKUKU third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY GENERATION | 40.0% | 2.50 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | KA YING STAR | 22.7% | 4.41 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | WAIKUKU | 16.0% | 6.26 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | FURORE | 7.4% | 13.47 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | NOTHINGILIKEMORE | 3.6% | 28.07 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | DOCTOR GEOFF | 3.3% | 30.23 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | CITRON SPIRIT | 2.2% | 45.75 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | WINNER'S WAY | 2.0% | 50.93 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | SOUTHERN LEGEND | 1.7% | 57.24 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | DRAGON GENERAL | 1.2% | 84.37 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 14.5
PLACE
1 10.5
5 24
7 15
QUINELLA
1,5 76
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 30.5
1,7 20
5,7 64
TIERCE
1,5,7 228
TRIO
1,5,7 73
FIRST 4
1,2,5,7 190
QUARTET
1,5,7,2 1,410
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,11/1,5,7 20,973
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 14.5
6TH DOUBLE
8/1 93
8/5 96.5