Sha Tin · 2019-10-20
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PRECIOUSSHIP Closed strongly XB 1.20.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 3 | 8.4 | N |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY FUN Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 12 | 4.5 | N |
| 3 | 0 | BEAUTY LOYAL Closed strongly B/TT A Domeyer · A S Cruz | A Domeyer | A S Cruz | 8 | 9.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | EVERYONE'S JOY Closed strongly XB G van Niekerk · F C Lor | G van Niekerk | F C Lor | 7 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly T H So · Y S Tsui | T H So | Y S Tsui | 1 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | CHARIZARD Closed strongly TT U Rispoli · D E Ferraris | U Rispoli | D E Ferraris | 13 | 7.5 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPER WISE Led early H/P/TT K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 5 | 23.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | BEST ALLIANCE H-/XB C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 10 | 46.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | EZRA Closed strongly B/XB K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 11 | 3.4 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | HAPPY FORCE B M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 4 | 8.4 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | STAR MAJESTIC Closed strongly B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 78.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SMART CHARADE B/H1/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 6 | 67.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT B A Sanna · J Moore | A Sanna | J Moore | 2 | 207.0 | 9-3/4 |
| — | 0 | FOLLOW ME J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2019-10-20 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PRECIOUSSHIP, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with HAPPY FUN second and BEAUTY LOYAL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite EZRA finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EZRA | 21.5% | 4.65 | 9 |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY FUN | 21.1% | 4.75 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPY FORCE | 11.1% | 8.99 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | EVERYONE'S JOY | 10.6% | 9.45 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | CHARIZARD | 9.0% | 11.15 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY LOYAL | 7.6% | 13.20 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE | 4.5% | 22.11 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPER WISE | 4.3% | 23.02 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | PRECIOUSSHIP | 3.1% | 32.06 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | SMART CHARADE | 2.9% | 35.08 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | BEST ALLIANCE | 2.0% | 51.06 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | STAR MAJESTIC | 1.7% | 57.43 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT | 0.6% | 155.64 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 84.5
PLACE
1 16.5
6 30.5
8 28.5
QUINELLA
1,6 219.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 84.5
1,8 82
6,8 148.5
TIERCE
6,1,8 5,374
TRIO
1,6,8 747
FIRST 4
1,6,8,9 2,267
QUARTET
6,1,8,9 46,238
3 PICK 1
A3 21.5
A1 —
A2 —
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,10,11/1,6,8 790,703
9TH DOUBLE
11/1 31
11/6 267
SIX UP
3,6/3,7/1,2/2,8/3,11/1,6 15,390
3/7/1/2/11/6 2,452,937
3 [C Y Ho] —
TREBLE
2/11/1 466
2/11/6 4,392